Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils Prediction 1/11/25 NHL Picks

New Jersey Devils Betting Preview

The New Jersey Devils are 25-15-4 this season after they lost to the Rangers in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. New Jersey led 2-1 in the second period, but they allowed the Rangers to tie the game and ended up losing in overtime. The Devils were outshot by a total of 32-23, won 36.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. New Jersey got goals from Bratt and Hughes, while Markstrom stopped 29 out of 32 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Devils defeated the Kraken by a score of 3-2 but did lose to the Sharks by a score of 3-2 before that. New Jersey has lost five of their last six games and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 54 points. New Jersey has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 2.55 goals against per game, while also going 28% on the power play and 82.1% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Hughes has led New Jersey with 16 goals, 34 assists, and 163 shots on goal, while Jesper Bratt has added 15 goals, 34 assists, and 99 shots on goal. Jacob Markstrom is 20-8-3 with a 2.20 goals-against average and a .911 save percentage this year. 

Why the Lightning will beat the Devils

• The Lightning have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Devils.
• The Devils have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the last eight games between the Lightning and Devils.
• The Devils have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Devils' last eight home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning's last five games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in 21 of the Lightning's last 22 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the Devils' last eight home games against the Lightning.

New Jersey Devils Player Prop Facts

• Jesper Bratt has recorded at least one point in each of the Devils' last 12 Saturday night home games.
• Dawson Mercer has scored a goal in three of the Devils' last four home games.
• Jesper Bratt has recorded at least one assist in each of the Devils' last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 14 appearances with the Lightning as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in 10 of his last 11 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Lightning as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils Prediction 

New Jersey comes into this matchup struggling over the last two weeks, but they will be back at home here. The Devils are 12-6-3 at home this year, while the Lightning are 9-9-1 on the road. Tampa Bay has won two games in a row and they are scoring 3.69 goals per game this season. New Jersey continues to be a great defensive team, but they have scored two goals or fewer in four of their last five games. I don’t love going against the Devils at home, but their offense is struggling and I think the Lightning can escape with a win.