Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction NHL Picks 12/12/24

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 12th at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 14-10-2 this year after they lost to Edmonton by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay tied the game at one in the second period but immediately allowed Edmonton to score in the loss. The Lightning were outshot by a total of 25-22, won 51.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got their lone goal from Guentzel, while Vasilevskiy stopped 24 out of 25 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Lightning defeated the Canucks by a score of 4-2 and the Sharks by a score of 8-1. Tampa Bay has scored 3.81 goals per game and they have allowed 2.96 goals against per game, while also going 25.3% on the power play and 80.3% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 13 goals, 25 assists, and 89 shots on goal, while Andrei Vasilevskiy is 12-9-1 with a 2.40 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames are 14-10-5 this season after they defeated Nashville by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Calgary trailed 2-1 and 3-2, but they scored the last two goals in the game for the win. The Flames outshot Nashville by a total of 28-20, won 43.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Calgary got goals from Huberdeau, Kadri, Rooney, and Pachal, while Vladar stopped 17 out of 20 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Flames lost to Dallas by a score of 6-2 and St. Louis by a score of 4-3. Calgary has scored 2.59 goals per game and they have allowed 2.97 goals against per game, while also going 21.4% on the power play and 73% on the penalty kill this season. Jonathan Huberdeau has led Calgary with 10 goals, nine assists, and 48 shots on goal, while Dustin Wolf is 8-5-1 with a 2.84 goals-against average and a .909 save percentage this year. 

Why the Flames will beat the Lightning

• The Flames have won each of their last eight home games following a road win.
• The Lightning have lost five of their last seven games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Flames have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a road loss.
• The Lightning have lost the first period in four of their last five road games.

Total Goals Facts

• Five of the Flames’ last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Lightning’s last five night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last four games following a road win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in 12 of the Lightning’s last 13 games as favorites against the Flames.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Yegor Sharangovich has scored a goal in three of the Flames’ last four games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
• Blake Coleman has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances against former teams.
• MacKenzie Weegar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flames’ last four games at Scotiabank Saddledome.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games.
• Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances with the Lightning as favorites.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Lightning’s last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.52).
• The Calgary Flames are one of only two teams to win a game when trailing by 2 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T2nd in the league in short-handed goals this season (4).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.27).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction 

Calgary was able to pick up a nice win over Nashville in their last game and they will look to make it two in a row here. The Flames are 10-3-1 at home this season, while the Lightning are 6-6-1 on the road. Tampa Bay has won two of their last three games, but they did lose to Edmonton last time out. The Lightning are the better overall team, but Calgary has been one of the best home teams in the league. Take the Flames here.