Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction NHL Picks 12/7/24

Pick details

Pittsburgh Penguins (11-12-4) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (16-7-2)

December 7, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Penguins +135 / Toronto Maple Leafs -160 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Saturday in NHL action at the PPG Paints Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Predators, lost to the Capitals, and they play the Devils, Ducks, and Red Wings next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring 19.5 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 16 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 27 shots on goal and John Tavares has 84 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.54 goals per game and are killing 83.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 33 goals on 433 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 19 goals on 244 shots.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Panthers, lost to the Rangers, and play the Avalanche, Canadiens, and Senators next. The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 2.79 goals per game and are scoring 21.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Rickard Rakell leads Pittsburgh with 10 goals, Sidney Crosby has 18 assists, and Erik Karlsson has 66 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.79 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Tristan Jarry has allowed 32 goals on 276 shots faced, and Alex Nedelijkovic has given up 44 goals on 374 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games following a loss.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games following a loss.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four home games following a road loss.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the second period in four of their last five games against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan Rust has scored a goal in five of his last six home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Penguins’ last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last 10 games against Atlantic Division opponents at PPG Paints Arena.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against the Penguins.
  • Matthew Knies has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites against the Penguins.
  • Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances against the Penguins.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 31st in the league for shots against per game this season (32.7).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank T2nd in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (1).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T2nd in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (1).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league in save percentage this season (.911).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction

The Pittsburgh Penguins in the home dog role is attractive because you just believe this team can figure things out, and you’re not used to seeing these prices over the years. The problem is, that the Maple Leafs are playing easily the better hockey, and they’ve won 5 of the last 6 games against the Penguins. If the Maple Leafs are serious about getting a top seed and finally turning their playoff issues around, these are games they need to win to stack away the points. The Leafs have a history of peppering the Penguins with goals. Give me Toronto and a reasonable price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -160

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