Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 11/5/24

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Toronto Maple Leafs (6-5-2) vs Boston Bruins (6-6-1)

November 5, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -150 / Boston Bruins +130 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, November 5th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 6-6-1 this year after they defeated Seattle by a score of 2-0 in their last game. Boston scored two goals in the first period and they were able to play great defense in the shutout win. The Bruins outshot Seattle by a total of 33-23, won 63.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Boston got their two goals from Brazeau and Coyle, while Swayman stopped all 23 shots that he faced.

Prior to that game, the Bruins defeated Philadelphia by a score of 2-0 but did lose to Carolina and Philadelphia before that. Boston has scored 2.62 goals per game and they have allowed 3.23 goals against per game, while also going 14.8% on the power play and 78.6% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with six goals, five assists, and 56 shots on goal, while Jeremy Swayman is 4-4-1 with a 3.16 goals-against average and an .895 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 6-5-2 this season after they lost to Minnesota in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Toronto tied the game at one in the first period, but they couldn’t find the back of the net again and lost in overtime. The Maple Leafs were outshot by a total of 33-28, won 51.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got their lone goal from Nylander, while Stolarz stopped 31 out of 33 shots in the game. 

Prior to that game, the Maple Leafs lost to St. Louis by a score of 4-2 but did lose to Seattle and Winnipeg before that. Toronto has scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 10% on the power play and 84.3% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with two goals, 12 assists, and 36 shots on goal, while Joseph Woll is 1-2-0 with a 2.70 goals-against average and a .892 save percentage this year. 

Why the Bruins will beat the Maple Leafs

  • The underdogs have won each of the Bruins’ last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 29 of their last 32 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Bruins have won the first period in four of their last five night games against the Maple Leafs following a win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Bruins’ last four night games following a win has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Three of the last four night games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goal line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Bruins’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Auston Matthews has scored a goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against the Bruins.
  • Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in 13 of his last 16 home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Brad Marchand has scored at least one goal in three of the Bruins’ last four games as road underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
  • Brad Marchand has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances with the Bruins as road underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
  • John Beecher has recorded an assist in each of the Bruins’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 

Boston comes into this game after shutting out the Kraken and the Flyers in their last two games, and they have bounced back from a rough start to the season. The Bruins have had some issues scoring goals consistently, but their defense has been very good in three of their last four games. Toronto has lost two games in a row and they have scored just three goals in those losses, but they are 4-2-0 at home this year. This should be a great matchup, but I am not passing up this plus money with how the Bruins are defending right now. Take Boston to get the win. 

David Racey's Pick: Bruins ML

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