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Week 6 NFL Picks Breakdown!

October 14, 2024 at 08:30 PM EDT

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The NFL returns with Week 6 and 14 games, so make sure you get them all here in the Week 6 NFL Picks Breakdown!

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction NFL Picks 10/10/24

49ers at Seahawks at 8:15 PM ET

The San Francisco 49ers enter this matchup seeking to recover from a narrow 24-23 defeat against the Arizona Cardinals in their previous game, bringing their season record to 2-3. Quarterback Brock Purdy has accumulated 1,374 passing yards, along with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, completing 65.6% of his attempts. Running back Jordan Mason has contributed significantly with 536 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. In the receiving department, Jauan Jennings has made 22 catches for 377 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Brandon Aiyuk has recorded 21 receptions for 214 yards. Additionally, both Deebo Samuel and George Kittle have surpassed 200 receiving yards this season, with Kittle achieving 23 receptions for 225 yards and 3 touchdowns.

The Seattle Seahawks head into this game with the intention of rebounding from their second straight loss, which came in the form of a 29-20 defeat against the New York Giants in their most recent match. Geno Smith has thrown for a total of 1,466 yards, registering 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, while maintaining a passing accuracy of 71.9%. Kenneth Walker is the leading rusher for the team, with 202 yards and 4 touchdowns, and Zach Charbonnet follows with 167 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. On the receiving end, DK Metcalf leads with 421 yards, 28 receptions, and 2 touchdowns, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 29 receptions for 247 yards, and Tyler Lockett has made 22 catches for 274 yards this season.

The Pick:

Initially, I believed that Seattle might manage to stay competitive in this game, but upon further reflection, it is increasingly clear that the Seahawks are struggling against teams that pose a real challenge. The 49ers find themselves in a critical situation, especially with a forthcoming matchup against the Chiefs. Suffering losses in this game and the next, which would drop their record to 2-5, would be catastrophic for San Francisco. I anticipate that the 49ers will make a strong statement in this contest. I am backing the Niners.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Jaguars at Bears at 9:30 AM ET

Last weekend, the Jaguars marked their inaugural win against the Colts. Although they were outscored 24-17 in the last quarter, Jacksonville managed to clinch the home victory with a final score of 37-34. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence completed the game with 371 yards, two touchdown passes, and one interception, while Tank Bigsby rushed for 101 yards and scored two touchdowns.

With a commanding 36-10 victory over the Carolina Panthers last weekend, the Bears improved their record to above .500. The team showcased their offensive strength by accumulating 20 points in the second quarter and effectively managed the game thereafter. Quarterback Caleb Williams recorded 304 passing yards and two touchdown passes, while D’Andre Swift rushed for 73 yards and one touchdown on 21 carries.

The Pick:

The Bears executed a solid all-around performance in their victory last weekend. Chicago recorded 424 yards of offense, with 296 yards coming from passing, achieving 24 first downs, and committing no turnovers. Defensively, the Bears allowed only 292 yards, including 172 passing yards, while also generating three takeaways. On the other hand, the Jaguars will be relieved to have finally secured a win, though it was not without its challenges. Jacksonville experienced two turnovers and converted merely 3 of their 10 third-down attempts. Although the Jaguars might find some limited success against the Bears’ defense, it is doubtful they will be able to keep up if Chicago finds the end zone on several occasions. Go with Chicago.

Cleveland Browns vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Browns at Eagles at 1 PM ET

The Cleveland Browns continued their unfortunate run last weekend in a game against the Washington Commanders. They surrendered 27 points during the second and third quarters, leading to a final score of 34-13 in favor of the Commanders. Deshaun Watson, the quarterback, achieved 125 yards passing with one touchdown, while Amari Cooper recorded four receptions totaling 60 yards.

In their defeat against the Buccaneers, the Eagles found themselves trailing 24-7 at halftime and were unable to recover thereafter. Quarterback Jalen Hurts recorded 158 passing yards along with one touchdown pass and a rushing touchdown. Saquon Barkley contributed with 84 yards on 10 attempts, while Dallas Goedert made seven receptions for a total of 62 yards.

The Pick:

The Eagles exhibited a dismal performance on both sides of the ball in their latest encounter with the Buccaneers. Philadelphia finished the game with a total of 227 yards, including 114 passing yards, and recorded 16 first downs, alongside two fumbles lost. On the defensive front, they allowed 445 yards, with 334 of those yards coming from passing, and permitted 29 first downs. On the other hand, the Cleveland Browns also struggled, managing only 212 total yards, with 108 passing yards, and achieving 13 first downs while converting just 1 of 13 on third downs in their defeat against the Commanders. The Browns’ defense allowed 434 yards, with 215 yards from rushing, and permitted 20 first downs, although they did secure two takeaways. Neither team is showing positive momentum, but I favor Philadelphia to cover the spread due to their extra preparation.

Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Commanders at Ravens at 1 PM ET

The Washington Commanders triumphed over the Cardinals and the Browns. Nonetheless, they have suffered losses in 5 out of their last 7 games played on the road. Jayden Daniels is achieving a completion percentage of 77.1, totaling 1,135 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have collectively garnered 463 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Austin Ekeler has made 11 receptions. The ground game for the Commanders is averaging 178.4 yards per game, with Brian Robinson Jr. at the forefront, accumulating 325 yards and 5 touchdowns.

The Baltimore Ravens emerged victorious against the Bills and Bengals. They have recorded 6 wins in their last 9 home games. Lamar Jackson is completing 65.3 percent of his passes, with a total of 1,206 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman have combined for 471 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Isaiah Likely has achieved 16 receptions. The Ravens’ rushing game averages 211.2 yards per game, led by Derrick Henry, who has gained 572 yards and scored 6 touchdowns.

The Pick:

While the Baltimore Ravens may warrant some trust as the more well-rounded team in their home environment, it is important to note that the Commanders have achieved a commendable 4-1 record both straight up and against the spread, featuring the most prolific scoring offense in the league. Furthermore, the Ravens have faced challenges, recording a 2-5 mark against the spread in their past seven contests as favorites of six points or greater. Consequently, I will place my confidence in the Commanders and the advantage of a free touchdown.

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Colts at Titans at 1 PM ET

The Indianapolis Colts have a season record of 2-3 after suffering a narrow defeat to Jacksonville, with a final score of 37-34. In this contest, the Colts were outgained by Jacksonville, who totaled 497 yards against their 447. The Colts did manage to win the turnover battle, finishing with a 2-1 advantage, and converted 7 of their 14 third-down opportunities. Joe Flacco delivered a strong performance, throwing for 359 yards and three touchdowns, while Alec Pierce made three receptions for 134 yards and one touchdown.

As of now, the Tennessee Titans have a season record of 1-3, having secured a win against the Miami Dolphins with a final score of 31-12 in their most recent game. The Titans outperformed the Dolphins in total yardage, amassing 244 yards against Miami’s 184. The turnover count was even at one for each team, and the Titans struggled on third down, converting just 2 of 12 attempts. Mason Rudolph recorded 85 passing yards on nine completions, while Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 88 yards and a touchdown.

The Pick:

In their last game before the bye week, Tennessee achieved their first victory of the season, although I remain skeptical about backing Will Levis as a quarterback. The Titans struggled with offensive errors during their first three games, but they managed to exploit the weaknesses of a compromised Miami team in their latest performance. The Colts have won two out of their last three games and came close to a significant comeback against Jacksonville last week. Nevertheless, the return to Richardson raises some concerns for me. Even if Richardson makes some questionable choices, I would still choose him over Levis, leading me to back the Colts in this duel.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Buccaneers at Saints at 1 PM ET

The Saints managed to score 13 points in their matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs, ultimately resulting in a loss by the same margin. Quarterback Derek Carr successfully completed 18 out of 28 passes, accumulating 165 yards, along with two touchdowns and one interception. The running game struggled significantly, with Alvin Kamara experiencing his least productive outing of the season, recording only 11 carries for 26 yards. In contrast, Rashid Shaheed emerged as a notable performer, finishing with four carries for 86 yards and a touchdown. Currently, the Saints are averaging 28 points per game, while their defense concedes an average of 19.2 points. The offense is ranked fourth in the league, whereas the defense holds the eighth position.

The recent game against the Atlanta Falcons marked one of the most disappointing defensive performances in Buccaneers’ history. The defense allowed Kirk Cousins to throw for an astounding 509 yards and four touchdowns. Despite this setback, the offense managed to score 30 points, showcasing a solid performance. Baker Mayfield completed 19 of 24 passes for 180 yards and three touchdowns, while Rachaad White contributed with 10 carries totaling 72 yards. The Buccaneers are currently averaging 25.4 points per game, with their defense allowing 22.8 points. The offense is ranked 4th in the league, while the defense stands at 8th.

The Pick:

Derek Carr’s last game was not impressive, but it was apparent how the Buccaneers managed to make Kirk Cousins look like the prime Tom Brady. The starting role may go to either Derek Carr or Spencer Rattler in the upcoming game, and both quarterbacks are expected to perform well against the Buccaneers’ defense. I have a strong belief that the Saints will emerge victorious in this contest; however, to ensure safety, we will take the points. Consequently, I suggest backing the Saints.

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Cardinals at Packers at 1 PM ET

The Cardinals managed to score 24 points, and during the second half, they outperformed San Francisco by a margin of 14-0, securing a narrow one-point win. Kyler Murray completed 19 of his 30 passing attempts, totaling 195 yards, with one touchdown and one interception. James Connor had a notable performance, recording 19 carries for 86 yards. For the season, the Cardinals are averaging 24 points per game, while their defense is conceding an average of 25.8 points. The offense ranks 12th in the league, while the defense is positioned at 27th.

The Green Bay Packers competed against the Los Angeles Rams in their most recent match, which, while not particularly remarkable, resulted in a 24-19 win for the Packers. Quarterback Jordan Love successfully completed 15 out of 26 passes, accumulating 224 yards, along with two touchdowns and one interception. Additionally, running back Josh Jacobs delivered a commendable performance, carrying the ball 19 times for 73 yards and scoring a touchdown. Currently, the Packers are averaging 25.6 points per game, while their defense concedes an average of 21.6 points. The offense is positioned 8th in the league rankings, whereas the defense holds the 14th spot.

The Pick:

The Packers’ defense has shown considerable vulnerability in their previous outings, and it appears they will face further challenges in this upcoming game. Kyler Murray is poised to have an exceptional performance, which could prove to be a decisive factor. Although Jordan Love is likely to have a respectable game, it is the offensive capabilities of the Cardinals that will be instrumental in keeping them in contention. It is recommended to back the Cardinals against the spread, and you should not be shocked if Arizona secures a win.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Texans at Patriots at 1 PM ET

The Houston Texans enter this contest aiming to extend their winning streak, having secured consecutive victories, including a 23-20 triumph over the Buffalo Bills in their most recent game. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has amassed 1,385 passing yards, with 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, achieving a completion rate of 68.9%. Running back Joe Mixon leads the team with 184 rushing yards, while Cam Akers contributes with 148 rushing yards this season. In the receiving department, Nico Collins tops the team with 32 receptions for 567 yards and 3 touchdowns, closely followed by Stefon Diggs, who has recorded 31 catches for 315 yards and 2 touchdowns. Additionally, three other Texans have surpassed 100 receiving yards this season.

The New England Patriots approach this contest with the objective of breaking their four-game losing streak, which was prolonged by a 15-10 loss to Miami in their last game. Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 696 yards, achieving 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, with a completion rate of 58.5%. Rhamondre Stevenson is the leading rusher for the Patriots, having gained 356 yards and scored 3 touchdowns. Furthermore, Antonio Gibson has added 207 rushing yards, while Hunter Henry has secured 16 receptions totaling 180 yards this season. DeMario Douglas has also contributed with 18 receptions for 153 yards thus far.

The Pick:

This season, New England’s most competitive and respected performances have been recorded at home, while Houston has managed to secure four wins by a total margin of 15 points. New England’s more substantial losses have occurred during away games, specifically a 5-point loss to Miami and a 3-point loss to Seattle. There is also the possibility of Houston experiencing a letdown following their impressive victory over a strong Bills team, which was clinched by a dramatic 58-yard field goal that could signal a future playoff confrontation. I will take the free touchdown with New England.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Steelers at Raiders at 4:05 PM ET

The Pittsburgh Steelers currently hold a record of 3-2 for the season, following their recent defeat to the Dallas Cowboys, which ended with a score of 20-17. In this matchup, the Steelers were significantly outgained, with the Cowboys accumulating 445 yards compared to the Steelers’ 226. Despite winning the turnover battle with a ratio of 3-1, the Steelers struggled on third down, converting only 3 out of 12 attempts. Quarterback Justin Fields passed for 131 yards and secured two touchdowns, while running back Najee Harris managed 42 yards on 14 carries.

After their latest game, in which they fell to the Denver Broncos 34-18, the Las Vegas Raiders’ season record stands at 2-3. The Raiders managed to outgain the Broncos in total yardage, amassing 330 yards against Denver’s 289. Nonetheless, they were unable to secure any turnovers, ending the game with a 3-0 deficit in that category, and converted only 7 of their 15 third-down attempts. Both quarterbacks were active during the game, with Minshew passing for 137 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while O’Connell recorded 94 yards and one interception.

The Pick:

At this moment, Las Vegas is in disarray, having allowed 34 and 36 points in two of their last three contests. I am confident that the Steelers will excel on both sides of the field, and their defense is likely to capitalize on the weaknesses of either quarterback. I anticipate a solid performance from the Steelers as they look to recover. Back the Steelers in this one.

LA Chargers vs Denver Broncos Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Chargers at Broncos at 4:05 PM ET

The Chargers come into this contest with a 2-2 record, having lost their last two games. In their previous match against the Kansas City Chiefs, the offense scored only 10 points. Although the defense limited the Chiefs to 17 points, the Chargers still fell short by seven points. Justin Herbert performed well, completing 16 of 27 passes for 179 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. Ladd McConkey had a notable performance with five catches for 67 yards and a touchdown. For the season, the Chargers are averaging 17 points per game, while their defense is yielding 12.5 points. The offense ranks 28th in the league, while the defense is positioned 2nd.

The Denver Broncos have been somewhat overlooked in recent discussions, yet they have managed to secure three consecutive wins. In their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders, the Broncos scored 34 points, leading to a convincing 16-point victory. Quarterback Bo Nix completed 19 of his 27 attempts, accumulating 206 yards, with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Although Nix has shown moments of inexperience, he has been making strides in his performance over the past few games. The Broncos are currently averaging 19.2 points per game, while their defense is allowing 14.6 points. They rank 22nd in offensive performance and an impressive 2nd in defensive performance within the league.

The Pick:

In his latest game, Nix was impressive, throwing for 206 yards and securing two touchdowns, which indicates he can find success against the Chargers’ defense. The Broncos may not achieve 27 points in this contest, but they are projected to score at least 21 points, which should be sufficient for a successful outcome. Backing the Broncos against the spread is the way to go.

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Lions at Cowboys at 4:25 PM ET

In their most recent game on September 30, the Lions faced the Seahawks. By halftime, Detroit had established a lead of 21-7 and ultimately secured a victory with a final score of 42-29. Quarterback Jared Goff completed all 18 of his pass attempts for a total of 292 yards and two touchdowns. Additionally, Jahmyr Gibbs contributed significantly with 14 carries, accumulating 78 yards and scoring two touchdowns.

During their Sunday evening game against the Steelers, the Cowboys were down 10-6 at the start of the fourth quarter. They rallied to achieve a dramatic 20-17 victory, scoring 14 points in the final moments. Dak Prescott completed the game with 352 passing yards, contributing two touchdowns and two interceptions. Rico Dowdle led the ground attack with 20 carries for a total of 87 yards.

The Pick:

The Dallas Cowboys amassed 445 offensive yards, with 336 yards attributed to passing, and secured 25 first downs, though they also faced three turnovers. The team was penalized 11 times for a total of 87 yards. Defensively, the Cowboys performed well, allowing only 226 yards, of which 134 were passing yards, and permitted 17 first downs while holding the opposition to a 3-of-12 conversion rate on third downs, contributing positively to their overall performance. Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions are coming off a solid victory against the Seahawks, but there are significant issues to address. The Lions’ defense allowed 516 yards, including 383 passing yards, and an excessive 38 first downs. Additionally, they incurred 12 penalties for 101 yards, which further complicated their situation. Detroit has also struggled to score, managing 20 points or fewer in two of their four games this season. If Dallas can limit their mistakes, it appears that the Lions may struggle to cover the spread.

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Falcons at Panthers at 4:25 PM ET

The Atlanta Falcons are looking to capitalize on their recent success, having secured back-to-back victories, including a 26-20 triumph over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, which improved their record to 3-2 for the season. Kirk Cousins has thrown for a total of 1,373 yards, achieving 8 touchdowns against 5 interceptions, with a completion rate of 67.2%. Bijan Robinson leads the rushing attack with 285 yards, while Tyler Allgeier has contributed 178 rushing yards. In terms of receiving, Drake London has the most receptions on the team, totaling 32 for 354 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Darnell Mooney has 24 receptions for 330 yards and 3 touchdowns. Additionally, Ray-Ray McCloud III has recorded 229 receiving yards, and two other players have also exceeded 150 receiving yards this season.

The Carolina Panthers aim to recover from two consecutive losses, having suffered a heavy defeat of 36-10 against the Chicago Bears, which has resulted in a 1-4 record for the season. Andy Dalton has thrown for a total of 675 yards, achieving 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, with a completion percentage of 65.1%. Meanwhile, Bryce Young has managed 303 passing yards but has faced challenges with 3 interceptions and a completion rate of 55.6%. Chuba Hubbard leads the team in rushing with 393 yards, while Diontae Johnson has the most receptions, totaling 23 for 262 yards and 2 touchdowns. Furthermore, Xavier Legette has recorded 143 receiving yards, Jonathan Mingo has 120 receiving yards, and Adam Thielen has contributed 109 receiving yards throughout the season.

The Pick:

The Panthers experienced a singular moment of success against the Raiders; however, it appears to be an isolated incident. While Andy Dalton’s brief resurgence may have yielded temporary benefits, it has not translated into sustained performance. In contrast, the Falcons clearly demonstrate superior capabilities. Although their victories have been narrow this season, this matchup presents an opportunity for a significant offensive display. I favor the Falcons in this contest.

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Giants Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Bengals at Giants at 8:20 PM ET

The Cincinnati Bengals secured a victory against the Panthers but suffered a defeat to the Ravens. In their last eight away games, the Bengals have achieved a balanced record. Quarterback Joe Burrow is currently completing 72.3 percent of his passes, accumulating 1,370 yards, along with 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have collectively amassed 675 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Mike Gesicki has recorded 17 receptions. The Bengals’ rushing attack averages 96 yards per game, with Chase Brown leading the team with 230 yards and 2 touchdowns.

The New York Giants experienced a loss to the Cowboys, followed by a victory against the Seahawks. Over their last eight home games, the Giants have achieved a split record. Daniel Jones has completed 64 percent of his passes, totaling 1,138 yards, with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. The combination of Malik Nabers and Darius Slayton has amassed 630 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Wan’Dale Robinson has made 32 receptions. The Giants’ rushing attack is averaging 103.2 yards per game, with Devin Singletary leading the charge with 221 yards and 2 touchdowns.

The Pick:

Fans have been hopeful for the Bengals to find their form all season long, but the current reality is disappointing. The team is unable to establish a running game and ranks among the poorest defenses in the NFL. Meanwhile, the New York Giants have managed to achieve two wins this season as considerable underdogs, and their defense is performing better than average, which may create difficulties for an offense that lacks versatility. Consequently, I am reluctant to bet on the Bengals as they continue to face defeats. My choice is to back the Giants with the points.

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction NFL Picks 10/14/24

Bills at Jets at 8:15 PM ET

This season, the Buffalo Bills have a record of 3-2 after suffering a narrow defeat against the Houston Texans, ending the game at 23-20. Statistically, the Bills were outgained by the Texans, with a total yardage of 425 to 276. They did, however, excel in the turnover department, achieving a 2-0 margin, and struggled on third down, converting only 3 of 14 attempts. Josh Allen recorded 131 passing yards and one touchdown on nine completions, while James Cook added 82 rushing yards and a touchdown to the team’s efforts.

After their latest game against the Minnesota Vikings, in which they lost 23-17, the New York Jets’ record stands at 2-3 for the season. The Jets outperformed the Vikings in total yardage, accumulating 254 yards compared to Minnesota’s 253. Nonetheless, they were unable to secure a favorable outcome in the turnover statistics, finishing with a 3-2 disadvantage. Additionally, the Jets converted only 5 out of 17 third-down opportunities. Aaron Rodgers recorded 244 passing yards, along with two touchdowns and three interceptions, while Garrett Wilson excelled with 13 receptions totaling 101 yards and one touchdown.

The Pick:

This season has not been favorable for the Jets, and Rodgers has struggled to establish a consistent rhythm. Nevertheless, their performance in the second half of last week’s game was notably better. On the other hand, Buffalo’s late-game coaching decisions in their recent loss raised several eyebrows. While they did exhibit resilience in the second half, I am inclined to support the Jets in this contest. The recent coaching change is likely to invigorate the Jets, enabling them to build on the positive momentum from last week. I suggest placing your confidence in the Jets at home.

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