Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

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New Orleans Saints (2-3) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2)

October 13, 2024 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints +2.5 — Over/Under: 42

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction for this NFL Week 6 game on Sunday, October 13th, at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Bucs’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Saints’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay 

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New Orleans

-Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and New Orleans

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Bucs and Saints. 

Are the Saints Lost?

The Saints look like they are lost and they are coming off another loss in the last game. The Saints scored 13 points against the Kansas City Chiefs and they ended up losing by 13 points. Derek Carr was a major issue again and he didn’t look comfortable at times with his receiver. Carr completed 18 of his 28 passes for 165 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. The running game also couldn’t get anything going. Alvin Kamara also had his worst game of the season finishing with 11 carries for 26 yards. The one real bright spot for Rashid Shaheed and he finished with four carries for 86 yards and a touchdown. 

The Saints are averaging 28 points while their defense is giving up 19.2 points per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league while the defense is ranked 8th in the league. Carr is going to need to have a big game here to really put the pressure on. Derek Carr is banged up and there is a chance that Spencer Rattler could start in this game. The Saints will meet the Broncos after this game.

Why the Saints WIll Beat the Bucs

  • The Buccaneers have lost six of their last seven October games as favorites.
  • The Saints have won eight of their last nine October home games against NFC South opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 October games against NFC South opponents.
  • The Saints have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games.
  • The Buccaneers have lost the first half in each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
  • The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in eight of their last nine Week 6 games.

The Buccaneers’ Defense Needs to Be Better

The Buccaneers’ defense had one of their worst games in history in the last game against the Atlanta Falcons. The Bucs defense allowed Kirk Cousins to throw for 509 yards and four touchdowns. Even though they lost the offense actually had a solid game and they scored 30 points. Baker Mayfield completed 19 of his 24 passes for 180 yards and three touchdowns. Rachaad White finished with 10 carries for 72 yards. 

The Buccaneers are averaging 25.4 points while their defense is giving up 22.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league while the defense is ranked 8th. Antonie Winfield Jr is dealing with an ankle injury but there is some hope that he could be back here. Hopefully, he’s back that will really help with the defense. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction

Give me the Saints as underdogs here. Derek Carr didn’t look good in the last game but everyone saw how the Bucs made Kirk Cousins look It could be Derek Carr or Spencer Rattler that start in this game but either will find success against this Bus defense.  I actually think the Saints win this game outright, but we will take the points to be safe. Back the Saints.

Shane Mickle's Pick: Saints +2.5

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