Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24

Tennessee Titans Betting Preview

The Tennessee Titans are 1-3 this year after they defeated Miami by a score of 31-12 in their last game. Tennessee led 9-3 at halftime and they added 22 points in the second half for a comfortable win. The Titans outgained Miami by a total of 244-184, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 2-12 on third down in the game. Mason Rudolph threw for 85 yards on nine completions, while Tony Pollard rushed for 88 yards and one score. 

Tennessee had lost their first three games against the Bears, Jets, and Packers to start the season. The Tennessee offense has scored 19.8 points per game with 145 passing yards and 111.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.5 points per game this season. The Titans have gone 27.7% on third down and 2-5 on fourth down through four games. Mason Rudolph played pretty well in relief of Levis in their last game, but if Levis is healthy, he will be back under center. 

Why the Colts will beat the Titans

• The Titans have lost eight of their last nine games following a win.
• The Colts have won six of their last seven games at Nissan Stadium following a loss.
• The Titans have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Colts and Titans at Nissan Stadium.
• The Titans have lost the first half in each of their last four Week 6 games as underdogs.
• The Titans have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Week 6 games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Colts' last nine Week 6 games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Titans' last four October games against AFC South opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

• Tyjae Spears has recorded 40+ rushing yards in four of the Titans' last five games at Nissan Stadium as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 71+ receiving yards in each of his last four October appearances against the Colts.
• Tyler Boyd has recorded 42+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four regular-season appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC South opponents.
• DeAndre Hopkins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four October appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC South opponents.
• Heading into Week 6, Will Levis ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (13.3%) this season.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in five of his last six Sunday appearances with the Colts as favorites.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 91+ rushing yards in each of his last four Sunday appearances with the Colts as favorites.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in nine of his last 10 appearances.
• Kylen Granson has recorded 11+ receiving yards in five of his last six appearances following a road loss.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 115+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his four previous October appearances with the Colts as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 6, Alec Pierce ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (28.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 6, the Titans rank 2nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game (32.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 6, the Titans rank T31st in the NFL in turnover differential (-7) this season.
• Heading into Week 6, the Colts rank 32nd in the NFL in time of possession per game (25:02) this season.
• Heading into Week 6, the Colts rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (12.4) this season.

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Prediction 

Tennessee was able to get their first win of the season in their last game prior to the bye week, but Will Levis is one of my least favorite quarterbacks to back. The Titans made plenty of offensive mistakes in their first three games, but they were able to take advantage of a banged-up Miami team in their last game. The Colts have won two of their last three games and nearly had a great comeback last week against Jacksonville, but the switch back to Richardson does worry me. Even if Richardson makes some poor decisions, I would rather have him under center than Levis, so give me the Colts here.