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Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction NFL Picks 10/13/24
Pick details
Baltimore Ravens (3-2) vs Washington Commanders (4-1)
October 13, 2024 at 01:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Ravens -6.5 / Washington Commanders +6.5 — Over/Under: 52
The Washington Commanders and Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in week 6 NFL action at M&T Bank Stadium. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction. This article will include a Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Pick.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders beat the Cardinals and Browns, and play the Panthers next. The Washington Commanders have lost 5 of their last 7 road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 77.1 percent of his passes for 1,135 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 463 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Austin Ekeler has 11 receptions.
The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 178.4 yards per contest, and Brain Robinson Jr. leads the way with 325 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 23 points and 328 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 44 tackles, Dorance Armstrong has 3 sacks and Benjamin St-Juste has 5 pass deflections.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens beat the Bills and Bengals, and they play the Buccaneers next. The Baltimore Ravens have won 6 of their last 9 home games. Lamar Jackson is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 1,206 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman have combined for 471 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Isaiah Likely has 16 receptions.
The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 211.2 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 572 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 25.2 points and 340.6 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the Baltimore Ravens with 50 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 6 sacks and Mason Humphrey has 2 interceptions.
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
- The Ravens have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Commanders have lost 21 of their last 24 games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites following a Division game.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Commanders have lost the first quarter in nine of their last 12 games.
- The Commanders have lost the first half in six of their last seven Sunday games as underdogs.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
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- Derrick Henry has recorded 92+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine October appearances.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 252+ passing yards in three of the Ravens’ last four games following a road win.
- Lamar Jackson has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of the Ravens’ last five regular season games as home favorites.
- Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances.
- Mark Andrews has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with the Ravens as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 96+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five Sunday appearances.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last five appearances with the Ravens as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 6, Derrick Henry ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (7) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 226+ passing yards in each of the Commanders’ last three Sunday games.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 24+ rushing yards in 25 of his last 26 appearances following a win.
- Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven Sunday appearances with the Commanders as road underdogs.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 14+ receiving yards in 17 of his last 18 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 38+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 22 appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Heading into Week 6, Luke McCaffrey ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (60.4) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Ravens rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (19.8 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (51.7%) this season.
Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
This should be a fun game that features two of the more exciting quarterbacks in the league. A chance for Jayden Daniels to really turn heads and enter the MVP race, not just the ROY convo. The Baltimore Ravens should get the benefit of the doubt because they’re the more balanced team at home. However, the Commanders are 4-1 SU and ATS, and they have the best-scoring offense in the NFL. The Ravens are also 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when favorites of 6 or more points. I’ll take my chances with the Commanders and the free touchdown.
