Vikings vs Bears Prediction 9/8/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Vikings vs Bears prediction for this NFL game on Monday, September 8th at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 1 matchup.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Minnesota Vikings were 14-3 last season and they finished second in the NFC North standings, just one game behind Detroit for first. Minnesota won the first five games on their schedule and they also finished the year by winning nine of their last ten, so they had a great regular season. The Vikings got wins against the Giants, 49ers, Texans, Packers (2), Jets, Colts, Jaguars, Titans, Bears (2), Cardinals, Falcons, and Seahawks, while losing to the Lions (2) and Rams. Minnesota really struggled in their finale against Detroit, which carried over to their postseason loss against the Rams by a score of 27-9. Minnesota scored 25.4 points per game in 2024, which ranked 9th in the NFL, while they allowed 19.5 points against per game, which ranked 5th. 

In the preseason, Minnesota won their first game against Houston by a score of 20-10, but dropped their last two against the Patriots and Titans by scores of 20-12 and 23-13. The Vikings will be starting McCarthy under center, so it will be interesting to see how he does in his first NFL start. Minnesota will have Jones at running back and Jefferson, Thielen, and Hockenson in the passing game. 

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears went 5-12 last year and they finished fourth in the NFC North standings,10 games behind the Lions for first and six games behind the Packers for third. Chicago started the season playing decent well, as they were 4-2 through six games, but they lost the next 10 games as the season got away from them. The Bears picked up wins against the Titans, Rams, Panthers, Jaguars, and Packers, while they lost against the Texans, Colts, Commanders, Cardinals, Patriots, Packers, Vikings (2), Lions (2), 49ers, and Seahawks. Chicago scored 18.2 points per game last year, which was ranked 28th in the NFL, while they allowed 21.8 points against per game, which ranked 13th. 

During the preseason, Chicago tied the Dolphins in their first game by a score of 24-24, but they did win the last two by scores of 38-0 and 29-27. Chicago will have Caleb Williams back at quarterback and they are hoping Ben Johnson can help the offense explode like it did in Detroit. The Bears will have Swift at running back, while Moore, Odunze, and Loveland will be the primary targets in the passing game. Chicago has plenty of playmakers on offense, but they really need Caleb Williams to take the next stop in his progression to put it all together. 

Why the Bears will beat the Vikings

The Bears have won seven of their last eight September games at Soldier Field.
The Vikings have lost eight of their last 10 road games in September.
The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road openers against NFC opponents.
The Bears have covered the spread in four of their last five season openers as underdogs.
The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Bears’ last two Week 1 games.
The Bears have won the first half in four of their last five September games against the Vikings at Soldier Field.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Vikings’ last seven Monday games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
Seven of the Bears’ last eight home openers have gone UNDER the total points line.
Six of the last seven Monday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in seven of his eight previous September home appearances.
D’Andre Swift has recorded 74+ rushing yards in each of his last five Monday regular season appearances.
Caleb Williams has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Bears’ last three games as home underdogs against NFC North opponents.
D.J. Moore has recorded 62+ receiving yards in nine of the Bears’ last 10 games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
Caleb Williams has recorded 231+ passing yards in each of the Bears’ last three home games against NFC North opponents.
D.J. Moore has recorded 64+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last 10 games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
Caleb Williams had the most rushing yards without a rushing touchdown last season (489).

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five Monday regular season appearances.
T.J. Hockenson has recorded 50+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with the Vikings as favorites against NFC North opponents.
Aaron Jones has recorded 58+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight regular season road appearances against NFC opponents.
Aaron Jones has recorded 93+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight regular season appearances with his team as a road favorite.
Justin Jefferson ranked 2nd in the NFL in receiving yards (1533) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Bears suffered the most losses by a margin of three points or less last season (5).
The Bears scored fewer than five points in two games last season – most in the NFL.
The Vikings ranked 32nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (20.1) last season.
The Vikings ranked 32nd in the NFL in average punt return (6.8 yards) last season.

David Racey was 18-10 (64%) in the NFL Preseason this year. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

Vikings vs Bears Prediction 

This is a very interesting matchup to end week one with on Monday Night Football, as Chicago welcomes in a new head coach and Minnesota has a new quarterback. The Vikings were an elite team during the regular season in 2024 and they have plenty of weapons, but can McCarthy play well enough in his first NFL start is the question. On the other side, we saw flashes of Caleb Williams being very good last year, but he also made quite a few mistakes. This should be a great game to watch, but I have to side with the Bears at home, as I can’t trust McCarthy in his first start.