Ravens vs Bills Prediction 11/1/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Ravens vs Bills Prediction

The Bills should be favored at home as they’ve played the better ball and are coming off a bye week. However, the Ravens are too good to turn down in the underdog role, especially with Lamar Jackson returning at quarterback. It adds a different dynamic to a Ravens offense that’s already eighth in total offense and fourth in rushing offense. The Ravens are good enough defensively to test Allen and company.

It’s time the Ravens get a statement win as they’ve been itching to emerge as the team to beat in the AFC. I’m also sure Jackson is tired of losing to the Bills, as Buffalo is 4-1 SU against Baltimore since January 2021. Massive game in terms of the hierarchy in the AFC. I want a free field goal in my pocket.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

The Baltimore Ravens lost to the Browns and Bengals, and they play the Jaguars next. The Baltimore Ravens have split their last 6 games. Lamar Jackson is completing 70.8 percent of his passes for 967 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman have combined for 874 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Mark Andrews has 26 receptions.

The Baltimore Ravens’ ground game is averaging 141.7 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 579 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 23.9 points and 317.4 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the Baltimore Ravens with 55 tackles, Travius Robinson has 3.5 sacks, and Trenton Simpson has 1 interception.

Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bills beat the Rams and Raiders, and they play the Vikings next. The Bills have won 5 of their last 6 games. Josh Allen is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,504 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir have combined for 605 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Keon Coleman has 19 receptions.

The Buffalo Bills’ ground game is averaging 148.8 yards per contest, and James Cook III leads the way with 627 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 28.5 points and 386.8 yards per game. Dorian Williams leads the Buffalo Bills with 46 tackles, Greg Rousseau has 6 sacks, and C.J. Gardner-Johnson has 1 interception.

Why the Buffalo Bills will win

• The Bills have won each of their last 12 home games against AFC opponents on a losing streak.
• The Ravens have lost five of their last six road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games without Tyler Huntley.
• The Bills have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Ravens have lost the first half in five of their last six November games against AFC opponents.
• The Ravens have lost the first quarter in four of their five previous Week 8 road games against AFC opponents.

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

• The Ravens have won four of their last five November games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Bills have lost two of their last three games as favorites without Dawson Knox.
• The Bills have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Week 8 home games.
• The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last five Sunday games as road underdogs.
• The Bills have lost the first half in four of their last five games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• The Bills have lost the first quarter in each of their last four Sunday games as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Ravens’ last six games as underdogs without Tyler Huntley have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Bills’ last eight home games without Dawson Knox have gone UNDER the total points line.

Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts

• Josh Allen has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Bills’ last three games as home favorites against teams that held a winning record.
• Dawson Knox has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous regular season appearances with the Bills as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• James Cook has recorded 111+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of the Bills’ last nine games following a road win.
• James Cook has recorded 95+ rushing yards in four of the Bills’ last five games.
• Josh Allen has recorded 248+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last four games following a road win.
• Josh Allen has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Bills’ last five home games against AFC North opponents.
• James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in nine of the Bills’ last 10 games against teams on a losing streak.
• Heading into Week 8, Ty Johnson ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

• Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five regular season appearances against the Bills.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 100+ rushing yards in six of his last seven appearances in road day games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Rashod Bateman has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 100+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances in road day games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven appearances against the Bills.
• Tyler Huntley has recorded 201+ passing yards in three of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 8, Derrick Henry has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Colts, Week 1).

Matchup/League Facts

• Bills – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
• Bills – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – tied for most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
• Heading into Week 8, the Ravens rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (7.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Ravens rank T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (85.7) this season.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Ravens +3