Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction 12/7/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Steelers vs Ravens Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Sunday, December 7th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Baltimore Ravens Preview

The Baltimore Ravens have a 6-6 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 4-8 ATS, 7-5 in Over/Under and have a 3-4 home record and a 3-2 away record. The Ravens are coming off a 14-32 home loss against the Cincinnati Bengals and will face the Bengals, Patriots and Packers next.

Offensively, the Ravens average 24.1 points per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.4 points per game, which is 21st. Baltimore averages 317.2 total yards per game (180.5 passing and 136.7 rushing), while allowing 350.5 total yards per game (201.8 rushing and 148.7 passing).

Lamar Jackson leads the Ravens with 1841 passing yards with 64.8% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing yards with 793, while Zay Flowers has a team-high 67 receptions for 767 receiving yards, and three touchdowns. Defensively, Roquan Smith has a team-high 90 total tackles (54 of them solo), while Mike Green leads the team in sacks, with 2.5.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 6-6 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 5-7 ATS, 6-6 in Over/Under and have a 4-3 home record and a 2-3 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 7-26 home loss against the Buffalo Bills and will face the Dolphins, Lions and Browns next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 23.4 points per game, ranking 15th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.1 points per game, which is 20th. Pittsburgh averages 281.7 total yards per game (187.8 passing and 93.8 rushing), while allowing 365.1 total yards per game (117.7 rushing and 247.4 passing).

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 2086 passing yards with 65.2% completed passes and 19 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 639, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 45 receptions for 605 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 103 total tackles (60 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 7.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

• The Steelers have lost each of their eight previous road games without T.J. Watt.
• The Ravens have won each of their last 16 games as favorites following a Division loss.
• The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites following a Division loss.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine December road games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven December road games against AFC North opponents.
• The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 11 games as favorites following a home loss.
• The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last eight December home games against the Steelers.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won each of their last seven Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• The Ravens have lost six of their last seven games without Lamar Jackson.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Ravens’ last seven Week 14 games.
• The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games without Rashod Bateman.
• The Steelers have won the first half in nine of their last 10 Sunday games.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Steelers’ last three Week 14 games.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last three Sunday games played on the East Coast.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Ravens’ last nine games as favorites following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Steelers’ last eight December games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

• Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five Week 14 appearances.
• Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in five of the Ravens’ last six home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Lamar Jackson has recorded 223+ passing yards in seven of the Ravens’ last eight home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six Week 14 appearances.
• DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of his last 14 December home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Lamar Jackson has recorded 33+ rushing yards in 16 of the Ravens’ last 17 games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Derrick Henry has recorded 104+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Ravens’ last six games against AFC North opponents.
• Heading into Week 14, Derrick Henry is the only player to have recorded 10+ total touchdowns in each of the last four seasons. (including 2025).

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Pat Freiermuth has scored a touchdown in four of the Steelers’ last five Sunday games as road underdogs.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of his last eight road appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 20+ completions in nine of his last 10 appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 68+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last three road games.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven road appearances against division opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last 20 road appearances against AFC opponents.
• Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).

Matchup/League Facts

• Ravens – three different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Heading into Week 14, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 points per game (7.7) this season.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.

Steelers vs Ravens Prediction

In this Steelers vs Ravens Prediction, the Ravens are coming as -6-point home favorites. Both teams have identical overall records and the Ravens have been weaker against the spread than the Steelers. The Ravens have also been below average at home and are coming off a loss that ended their previous five-game winning streak, while on the other hand, the Steelers are 1-3 in their last 4 games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games combined and I expect another low-scoring affair today, even though the number is pretty low. Take the under 42.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 42.5