Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction 10/11/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars meet Sunday in NFL action from Northumberland Development Project in London. Here’s an Eagles vs Jaguars prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Eagles vs Jaguars pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

Philadelphia started out the year with a couple of close wins then lost the handle in game three. The Eagles eked one out against the pesky Washington Commanders 24-22 in the opener, then notched another close victory versus Tennessee 24-20 from there. In the matchup with the Chicago Bears, Philadelphia recorded their first loss of the year 27-7 to start out 2-1.

In the matchup versus the LA Rams, the Eagles played quite well in the first half, surging to a 20-10 lead. That’s where the score stayed until the final quarter, when Philly gave up a couple of touchdowns for a 24-20 loss in the end. QB Jalen Hurts was 12-of-27 for 93 yards and two scores. Darius Cooper caught both TDs among his three grabs for 33 yards as well.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

Over on the Jags’ side, they’ve been looking pretty solid overall in the early-going. Jacksonville rolled right past Cleveland in their opener 34-10—the Browns’ only loss so far. The Jaguars would then take a tough loss 20-13 versus the Denver Broncos in game two, but then bounced back with a nice win over the New England Patriots 35-6 for a 2-1 start through three.

Matched up against the Cincinnati Bengals, the Jaguars managed a couple of field goals and a TD in the first half for a 13-3 edge. Cincinnati got a late score but Jacksonville was still able to hang on for the road win 22-17 in the end. QB Trevor Lawrence was 18-of-23 for 227 yards and a touchdown. Brenton Strange caught seven balls for 95 yards as the leading receiver in the win.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

• The Jaguars have won each of their last five games without Travon Walker.
• The Eagles have lost 12 of their last 13 games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• The Jaguars have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Sunday games.
• The Eagles have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday games.
• The Eagles have lost the first half in four of their last five October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win

• The Eagles have won each of their last five games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Jaguars have lost nine of their last 10 games against NFC opponents on a losing streak.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in each of their last five games without Zach Ertz.
• The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 October games against NFC opponents.
• The Jaguars have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Week 5 games against NFC opponents.
• The Jaguars have lost the first half in each of their last five games against NFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Eagles’ last eight Week 5 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Jaguars’ last five October games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Parker Washington has scored a touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last four games as favorites.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 20+ completions in eight of the Jaguars’ last nine October games against NFC opponents.
• Brian Thomas has recorded 28+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday regular season appearances with the Jaguars as favorites.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 234+ passing yards in nine of the Jaguars’ last 11 games as favorites following a win.
• Chris Rodriguez has recorded 23+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Jakobi Meyers has recorded 50+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 5, Trevor Lawrence has the highest passer rating in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (150.6 vs Browns, Week 1).

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Hurts has recorded 197+ passing yards in eight of the Eagles’ last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC South opponents.
• Marquise Brown has scored at least one touchdown in five of his six previous Week 5 appearances.
• Dameon Pierce has recorded 35+ rushing yards in each of his five previous October appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
• Dameon Pierce has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his five previous October appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 5, Saquon Barkley ranks 4th in the league amongst qualified players for broken tackle percentage (36.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 5, the Jaguars rank 32nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game (2.5) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in turnover differential (+6) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Eagles rank 32nd in the NFL in H2 points per game (5.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Eagles rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.

Eagles vs Jaguars Prediction

I’ll stay with the Jags. Jacksonville seems to be overachieving in the early-going this year and they’re looking very much like a playoff team. In the win over the Bengals, the Jaguars made some mistakes—namely the 13 penalties for 125 yards—but overall kept things going pretty well. The defense did give up 437 yards and 26 first downs but the two takeaways and 11 Cincinnati penalties for 108 yards certainly helped.

As for the Eagles, they managed just 12 first downs and a futile 0-of-12 on third-down tries in their home loss to the Rams. The 10 penalties for 57 yards didn’t help either. Philadelphia gave up 415 yards and 26 first downs on defense but did get a couple of picks. The Eagles aren’t playing great over the last couple of games but they’re a better team than that.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -7