Patriots vs Bears Prediction 10/22/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The New England Patriots and Chicago Bears meet Thursday in NFL action at Soldier Field. Here’s a Patriots vs. Bears Prediction. This article will include a Patriots vs. Bears Pick.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The New England Patriots beat the Raiders and Jets, and play the Dolphins next. The New England Patriots have won 3 straight games. Drake Maye is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 1,463 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Romeo Doubs and DeMario Douglas have combined for 494 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Hunter Henry has 19 receptions.

The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 130.7 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 263 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.8 points and 300.8 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the New England Patriots with 39 tackles, Elijah Ponder has 5.5 sacks, and Gabe Jacas has 1 interception.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears lost to the Packers, beat the Falcons, and they play the Seahawks next. The Chicago Bears have won 3 of their last 4 games. Caleb Williams is completing 72.5 percent of his passes for 712 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Luther Burden III and Rome Odunze have combined for 673 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Kalif Raymond has 26 receptions.

The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 160.7 yards per contest, and D’Andre Swift leads the way with 398 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 19.8 points and 302.3 yards per game. Dillon Thieneman leads the Chicago Bears with 39 tackles, Austin Booker has 4 sacks, and T.J. Edwards has 1 interception.

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The Bears have won each of their last four games against AFC opponents.
• The Patriots have lost seven of their last nine October games against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last four games against AFC opponents.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Patriots have lost the first quarter in each of their last three Week 7 games against NFC opponents.
• The Patriots have lost the first half in 10 of their last 13 games as underdogs following a win.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last six games following a Division game.
• The Bears have lost four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games in October.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Week 7 games as favorites.
• The Bears have lost the first half in six of their last seven night games against AFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last six Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Bears’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Patriots’ last five games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last four Thursday night games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Colston Loveland has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bears’ last four games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 257+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 10+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances against AFC opponents.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 21+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Bears as favorites following a win.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 10+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances against AFC opponents.
• Tyson Bagent has recorded 21+ completions in three of his four previous October appearances against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 7, Kyler Gordon has recorded the most sacks in a single game this season (3.0 vs Falcons, Week 6).

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Rhamondre Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances with the Patriots as road underdogs against teams that held a winning record.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 47+ rushing yards in five of the Patriots’ last six road games.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 77+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four regular season appearances with the Patriots as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last four night games.
• Heading into Week 7, Elijah Ponder ranks T3rd in the NFL in sacks (5.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bears – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
• Bears – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – tied for most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
• Patriots – seven different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – tied for the most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
• Patriots – four different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.

Patriots vs Bears Prediction

The home team is usually going to be favored on a short week. The Bears look solid on both sides of the ball and have Williams back under center. I get it. However, the Patriots have found their footing over the last month with three straight wins. Maye is finding his confidence again, the offense has a pulse, and New England is top-10 in total defense, rushing defense, and scoring defense. This should be a well-played game that comes down to the fourth quarter. The value is with the Pats and the points, especially if you can find a hook on top of the key number. Give me the Patriots.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Patriots +3