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New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 9/21/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Pick details
New York (0-2) vs Tampa Bay (2-0)
September 21, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay -7 — Over/Under: +45.5
The New York Jets and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in NFL action from Raymond James Stadium. Here’s a Jets vs Buccaneers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Buccaneers pick. We will examine:
The New York Jets recent form and player performance
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Jets
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Jets and Buccaneers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Jets vs Buccaneers game
In their opener this year, the Jets took on the Pittsburgh Steelers. New York was looking good through three quarters, then suffered a 17-6 deficit in the final frame that gave the Jets a 34-32 loss at home. QB Justin Fields threw for 16-of-22 for 218 yards and a score, while also rushing for two more TDs. Breece Hall led the way on 19 carries for 107 yards, and leading receiver Garrett Wilson had seven catches for 95 yards and a score.
In game two versus the Buffalo Bills, New York wasn’t anywhere near as competitive. The Jets were flummoxed from the very beginning, turning a 20-3 halftime deficit into a 30-10 blowout loss. Fields was the leading rusher this time with five carries for 49 yards. Tyrod Taylor threw for 56 yards and a touchdown on 7-of-11 passing, and Wilson was again the top receiver with four catches for 50 yards.
Over on the Tampa Bay side, they kicked things off this year with a matchup versus the Atlanta Falcons. The Bucs were ahead 17-16 at the break, then scored another six points from there in a tight win 23-20. Baker Mayfield went 17-of-32 passing for 167 yards and three scores, while also leading the rush on 39 yards from five carries. Emeka Egbuka was tops in the receiving game with four grabs for 67 yards and a pair of scores.
In Monday night’s matchup versus the Texans, Tampa Bay was up 14-10 by halftime. Following a wild fourth quarter that ended up a 9-6 deficit, the Bucs were able to eke out a 20-19 victory on the road. Mayfield was 25-of-38 for 215 yards and a pair of scores this time, while leading the rush was Bucky Irving on 71 yards from 71 totes. Mike Evans logged five catches for 56 yards, and Rachaad White chipped in a rushing touchdown among his 65 yards.
The Jets have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs in Florida.
The Buccaneers have won 15 of their last 16 games at Raymond James Stadium against opponents on a losing streak.
The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last five Week 3 games.
The Buccaneers have won the first half in eight of their last nine home openers.
The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in four of their last five home games following a road win.
The Buccaneers have lost each of their last five Week 3 games as home favorites.
The underdogs have won seven of the Buccaneers’ last nine Week 3 games.
The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 3 games at Raymond James Stadium.
The road team has covered the spread in six of the Buccaneers’ last seven Week 3 games.
The road team has won the first half in each of the Buccaneers’ last three Week 3 games.
The road team has won the first quarter in four of the Buccaneers’ last five Week 3 games.
Seven of the Jets’ last eight Week 3 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of the Buccaneers’ last six games at Raymond James Stadium following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Baker Mayfield has recorded 238+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC East opponents.
Rachaad White has recorded 12+ rushing yards in 46 of his last 48 regular season appearances.
Rachaad White has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight home games against AFC opponents.
Cade Otton has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances at Raymond James Stadium.
Chris Godwin has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Buccaneers as home favorites.
Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five appearances against AFC East opponents.
Heading into Week 3, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Braelon Allen has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five Sunday road games.
Allen Lazard has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last six September appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
Justin Fields has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four September appearances.
Braelon Allen has recorded 26+ rushing yards in four of the Jets’ last five road games.
Heading into Week 3, Will McDonald has recorded the equal-most sacks in a single game this season (2 vs Steelers, Week 1).
Heading into Week 3, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
Heading into Week 3, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (1.5) this season.
Jets – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
Heading into Week 3, the Jets rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (190.0) this season.
I’ll stay with Tampa Bay. The Bucs posted a gritty road win on Monday, thanks in no small part to the defense. Tampa held Houston to just 266 total yards (182 passing), 12 first downs, a 2-of-9 success rate on third-down tries and 22:51 in time of possession. The offense had their issues but pulling off a victory like that is no small feat.
As for New York, they’re coming off a pretty inept home loss versus their toughest divisional opponent. The Jets were horrendous on offense against the Bills, collecting just 154 total yards (54 passing), 3.3 yards per play, 11 first downs, 21:39 in time of possession and a futile 0-of-11 on third-down tries. Meanwhile the defense gave up 403 yards (224 rushing) and 25 first downs on the other side—with no takeaways. Sure it’s only been two games, but New York looks like the same ol’ team this year. It’s very difficult to trust the Jets to do anything positive these days. In reality, I’ll probably stay away from this one all together. There are lots of better plays out there this weekend.
The New York Jets recent form and player performance
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Jets
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Jets and Buccaneers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Jets vs Buccaneers game
New York Jets Betting Preview
In their opener this year, the Jets took on the Pittsburgh Steelers. New York was looking good through three quarters, then suffered a 17-6 deficit in the final frame that gave the Jets a 34-32 loss at home. QB Justin Fields threw for 16-of-22 for 218 yards and a score, while also rushing for two more TDs. Breece Hall led the way on 19 carries for 107 yards, and leading receiver Garrett Wilson had seven catches for 95 yards and a score.
In game two versus the Buffalo Bills, New York wasn’t anywhere near as competitive. The Jets were flummoxed from the very beginning, turning a 20-3 halftime deficit into a 30-10 blowout loss. Fields was the leading rusher this time with five carries for 49 yards. Tyrod Taylor threw for 56 yards and a touchdown on 7-of-11 passing, and Wilson was again the top receiver with four catches for 50 yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
Over on the Tampa Bay side, they kicked things off this year with a matchup versus the Atlanta Falcons. The Bucs were ahead 17-16 at the break, then scored another six points from there in a tight win 23-20. Baker Mayfield went 17-of-32 passing for 167 yards and three scores, while also leading the rush on 39 yards from five carries. Emeka Egbuka was tops in the receiving game with four grabs for 67 yards and a pair of scores.
In Monday night’s matchup versus the Texans, Tampa Bay was up 14-10 by halftime. Following a wild fourth quarter that ended up a 9-6 deficit, the Bucs were able to eke out a 20-19 victory on the road. Mayfield was 25-of-38 for 215 yards and a pair of scores this time, while leading the rush was Bucky Irving on 71 yards from 71 totes. Mike Evans logged five catches for 56 yards, and Rachaad White chipped in a rushing touchdown among his 65 yards.
New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends: Week 3
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
The Jets have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs in Florida.
The Buccaneers have won 15 of their last 16 games at Raymond James Stadium against opponents on a losing streak.
The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last five Week 3 games.
The Buccaneers have won the first half in eight of their last nine home openers.
The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in four of their last five home games following a road win.
Why the New York Jets will win
The Buccaneers have lost each of their last five Week 3 games as home favorites.
The underdogs have won seven of the Buccaneers’ last nine Week 3 games.
The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 3 games at Raymond James Stadium.
The road team has covered the spread in six of the Buccaneers’ last seven Week 3 games.
The road team has won the first half in each of the Buccaneers’ last three Week 3 games.
The road team has won the first quarter in four of the Buccaneers’ last five Week 3 games.
Total Points Facts
Seven of the Jets’ last eight Week 3 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of the Buccaneers’ last six games at Raymond James Stadium following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
Baker Mayfield has recorded 238+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC East opponents.
Rachaad White has recorded 12+ rushing yards in 46 of his last 48 regular season appearances.
Rachaad White has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight home games against AFC opponents.
Cade Otton has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances at Raymond James Stadium.
Chris Godwin has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Buccaneers as home favorites.
Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five appearances against AFC East opponents.
Heading into Week 3, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
Braelon Allen has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five Sunday road games.
Allen Lazard has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last six September appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
Justin Fields has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four September appearances.
Braelon Allen has recorded 26+ rushing yards in four of the Jets’ last five road games.
Heading into Week 3, Will McDonald has recorded the equal-most sacks in a single game this season (2 vs Steelers, Week 1).
Matchup/League Facts
Heading into Week 3, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
Heading into Week 3, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (1.5) this season.
Jets – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
Heading into Week 3, the Jets rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (190.0) this season.
Jets vs Buccaneers Prediction
I’ll stay with Tampa Bay. The Bucs posted a gritty road win on Monday, thanks in no small part to the defense. Tampa held Houston to just 266 total yards (182 passing), 12 first downs, a 2-of-9 success rate on third-down tries and 22:51 in time of possession. The offense had their issues but pulling off a victory like that is no small feat.
As for New York, they’re coming off a pretty inept home loss versus their toughest divisional opponent. The Jets were horrendous on offense against the Bills, collecting just 154 total yards (54 passing), 3.3 yards per play, 11 first downs, 21:39 in time of possession and a futile 0-of-11 on third-down tries. Meanwhile the defense gave up 403 yards (224 rushing) and 25 first downs on the other side—with no takeaways. Sure it’s only been two games, but New York looks like the same ol’ team this year. It’s very difficult to trust the Jets to do anything positive these days. In reality, I’ll probably stay away from this one all together. There are lots of better plays out there this weekend.
