New York Giants vs New England Patriots Prediction 12/1/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The New York Giants and New England Patriots meet Monday in NFL action at Gillette Stadium. Here’s a New York Giants vs New England Patriots Prediction. This article will include a New York Giants vs New England Patriots Pick.

New York Giants Betting Preview

The New York Giants lost to the Packers and Lions, and they play the Commanders next. The New York Giants have lost 6 straight games. Jaxson Dart is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 1,417 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Wan’Dale Robinson and Theo Johnson have combined for 1,221 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Darius Slayton has 24 receptions.

The New York Giants ground game is averaging 124.5 yards per contest, and Cam Skattebo leads the way with 410 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 27.8 points and 385 yards per game. Bobby Okereke leads the New York Giants with 103 tackles, Brian Burns has 13 sacks and Dru Phillips has 2 interceptions.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The New England Patriots beat the Jets and Bengals, and play the Bills next. The New England Patriots have won 9 straight games. Drake Maye is completing 71 percent of his passes for 3,130 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Hunter Henry have combined for 1,216 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Kayshon Boutte has 25 receptions.

The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 112.4 yards per contest, and TreVeyon Henderson leads the way with 558 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.8 points and 301.2 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the New England Patriots with 95 tackles, K’Lavon Chaisson has 6.5 sacks and Marcus Jones has 3 interceptions.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Giants have lost each of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
• The Patriots have won each of their last eight games following a win.
• The Giants have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games after coming off overtime.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Giants have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs after coming off overtime.

Why the New York Giants will win

• The Patriots have lost each of their last nine December games at Gillette Stadium.
• The road team has won each of the Patriots’ last five Week 13 games.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against NFC opponents.
• The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last three games.
• The Giants have won the first half in each of their three previous December games against the Patriots.
• The Giants have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Giants’ last five games against AFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Patriots’ last six games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Henry has scored a touchdown in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC East opponents.
• Drake Maye has recorded 259+ passing yards in seven of the Patriots’ last eight games.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 25+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Austin Hooper has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances at Gillette Stadium.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 41+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 13, Drake Maye has the highest completion percentage in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (91.3% vs Titans, Week 7).

New York Giants Player Prop Facts

• Jaxson Dart has scored at least one touchdown in each of his six previous appearances with the Giants as underdogs against teams that held a winning record.
• Theo Johnson has recorded 33+ receiving yards in five of the Giants’ last six games as road underdogs.
• Devin Singletary has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous December appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Devin Singletary has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his eight previous December road appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 227+ passing yards in six of his seven previous Week 13 appearances.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last five December road appearances.
• Victor Dimukeje has recorded the equal-most defensive targets of any player (2) yet to allow a completion this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Patriots – seven different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Patriots – seven different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Giants – seven different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Heading into Week 13, the Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (157.2) this season.

New York Giants vs New England Patriots Prediction

The Patriots are racking up the wins and are top-10 both in scoring offense and scoring defense. The Pats look the part and should be favorites at home. However, this line feels a bit thick. Despite the losses, the Giants have seen 5 of their last 6 losses be decided by 10 or fewer points. The Giants are riding a 6-game losing streak, but those games have been decided by an average of 7.8 points. This squad competes and there’s a decent chance Dart returns as he’s been a full participant in recent practices. We’re getting a hook on top of a key number, and the Giants have two outright wins this season when underdogs of 5 or more points. I’ll grab the points with the road team.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Giants +7.5