New York Giants vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 9/22/24

Pick details

Cleveland Browns (1-1) vs New York Giants (0-2)

September 22, 2024 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Browns -6 / New York Giants +6 — Over/Under: 38.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a New York Giants vs Cleveland Browns prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 22nd at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup.

New York Giants Betting Preview

The New York Giants are 0-2 this season after they lost to Washington by a score of 21-18 in their last game. New York led 18-15 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed two field goals in the last 7:12 for the loss. The Giants were outgained by a total of 425-304, turned the ball over once, and went 4-8 on third down. Daniel Jones threw for 178 yards and two touchdowns, while Devin Singletary rushed for 95 yards and one score. The Giants did leave quite a few points on the board, as their kicker got hurt and cost them extra points/field goals. 

New York lost to Minnesota by a score of 28-6 in week one, so it has been a rough first two weeks for the Giants. The New York offense has scored 12 points per game with 170.5 passing yards and 101.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.5 points per game this season. The Giants have gone 42.3% on third down and 2-5 on fourth down through two games. Daniel Jones has completed 54.3% of his passes for 364 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Malik Nabers has caught 15 passes for 193 yards and one score. 

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 1-1 this year after they defeated Jacksonville by a score of 18-13 in their last game. Cleveland led 16-3 early in the third quarter, but they barely hung on for the win in the fourth quarter. The Browns were outgained by a total of 323-297, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 2-14 on third down in the game. Deshaun Watson threw for 186 yards on 22 completions, while Jerome Ford rushed for 64 yards on seven carries.

Cleveland lost to Dallas by a score of 33-17 in their first game, but the defense did play much better in week two. The Cleveland offense has scored 17.5 points per game with 154.5 passing yards and 109 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17.5 points per game this season. The Browns have gone 13.8% on third down and 6-8 on fourth down so far this season. Deshaun Watson has completed 58.2% of his passes for 355 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy has caught eight passes for 98 yards and one score. 

Why the Giants will cover

  • The Giants have won four of their last five games as road underdogs following a Division game.
  • The Browns have lost six of their last seven September games against NFC East opponents.
  • The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last five games as road underdogs following a Division game.
  • The Browns have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.
  • The Giants have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Browns have lost the first half in three of their last four September home games against NFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Giants’ last six September games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the Browns’ last six games have gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Jerome Ford has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Browns’ last three regular season games as favorites.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 75+ rushing yards in each of his last nine September appearances at Huntington Bank Field.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 264+ passing yards in each of his five previous Week 3 appearances.
  • David Njoku has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last seven games as favorites.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 24+ completions in eight of his last 10 Sunday home appearances.
  • Rodney McLeod is just two away from 20 career interceptions.

New York Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Devin Singletary has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of his last five regular season road appearances.
  • Daniel Bellinger has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of the Giants’ last four games following a road loss.
  • Devin Singletary has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three appearances following a loss.
  • Devin Singletary has scored a touchdown in four of his last five regular season road appearances.
  • Darius Muasau ranks T3rd in the NFL in interceptions (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Browns rank 31st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (13.8%) this season.
  • The Browns rank T3rd in the NFL in sacks (7.0) this season.
  • The Giants rank 31st in the NFL in H2 points per game (4.5) this season.
  • The Giants rank 3rd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (89.0) this season.

New York Giants vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup looking for their first win of the season, and they can’t feel good about their first two games. The Giants were blown out by Minnesota in week one and practically gave away the game last week against Washington, so they will look to put together a full game here. Cleveland hasn’t looked much better in their first two games, but they were able to grind out a win last week. The Giants did move the ball pretty well against the Commanders and I think they will find some success here. I am not sold on either of these quarterbacks and with both teams not looking great, I will take the points with the Giants. 

David Racey's Pick: Giants +6

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