New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 12/7/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The New Orleans Saints and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet in week 14 NFL action from Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction.

New Orleans Saints Recap

The New Orleans Saints come into this game looking to rebound from their 21-17 loss at the hands of Miami last time out to sit at 2-10 on the year. After this game, New Orleans will head home for a game against the Carolina Panthers.

Saints Drop Back-To-Back Games… Again

Spencer Rattler has thrown for 1,586 yards, 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 68% passing while Tyler Shough has thrown for 1,068 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 65.2% passing. Alvin Kamara has 471 rushing yards and a touchdown to lead the Saints on the ground. Chris Olave has a team-high 73 catches for 781 yards and 5 touchdowns while Rashid Shaheed has 499 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Juwan Johnson’s also had 576 receiving yards and 3 TDs as well this season. On defense, Demario Davis has a team-high 111 total tackles while Cameron Jordan has a team-high 6.5 sacks, Chase Young has 5 sacks and Carl Granderson has 4.5 sacks. As a unit, the Saints have combined for 28 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Recap

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this game looking to add on to their 20-17 win over Arizona last time out to sit at 7-5 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will take on the Atlanta Falcons at home.

Buccaneers Snap Three-Game Slide

Baker Mayfield has thrown for 2,600 yards, 19 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 62.8% passing while  Rachaad White has a team-high 421 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Emeka Egbuka has a team-high 52 catches for 791 yards and 6 touchdowns while Sterling Shepard has 38 grabs for 366 yards and Cade Otton has 411 receiving yards this season. On defense, Tykee Smith has a team-high 87 total tackles and Yaya Diaby has a team-high 6 sacks. As a unit, Tampa Bay’s defense has combined for 29 sacks and 11 interceptions this season.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

• The Buccaneers have won each of their last 12 games against NFC opponents on a losing streak.
• The Saints have lost each of their last eight games without Taysom Hill.
• The Saints have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread in four of their last five home games without Lavonte David.
• The Saints have lost the first quarter in each of their last six road games.
• The Saints have lost the first half in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as favorites.

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

• The Saints have won 10 of their last 15 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• The Buccaneers have lost five of their last six games at Raymond James Stadium following a home win.
• The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last 15 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Raymond James Stadium following a home win.
• The Saints have won the first quarter in six of their last eight games at Raymond James Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
• The Saints have won the first half in each of their last seven December games against NFC South opponents.
• The Saints have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six road games against the Buccaneers.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Saints’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Buccaneers’ last six games without Antoine Winfield Jr. have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six games between NFC South teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

• Baker Mayfield has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Buccaneers’ last five December games against NFC opponents.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 235+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last eight December games.
• Bucky Irving has scored a touchdown in nine of his last 10 appearances against NFC opponents.
• Rachaad White has recorded 34+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 14 December games.
• Bucky Irving has recorded 44+ rushing yards in each of his nine previous home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Chris Godwin has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances against the Saints.
• Heading into Week 14, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (5) this season.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Chris Olave has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Saints’ last five road games.
• Tyler Shough has recorded 239+ passing yards in each of the Saints’ last three games.
• Spencer Rattler has recorded 21+ rushing yards in five of his six previous appearances following a road loss.
• Juwan Johnson has recorded 49+ receiving yards in seven of the Saints’ last eight games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 115+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five road appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Heading into Week 14, Kool-Aid McKinstry has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Giants, Week 5).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 14, the Buccaneers have recorded a higher time of possession than their opponents in each of their last five games – longest active streak in the league.
• Heading into Week 14, the Buccaneers have lost the fourth quarter in each of their last three games – longest active streak in the league.
• Heading into Week 14, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (34.6%) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (38.7%) this season.

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

I’m on the under here. I just don’t trust the Saints offensively and no Alvin Kamara really hurts this offense that was already poor to begin with. On the other side, Tampa Bay’s the better team but this team is still banged up, and I think that this is a spot where we have another low-scoring battle. The under cashed in the first meeting with a 23-3 Bucs win and I think we get another one here. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 42.5