Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Prediction 10/11/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Vikings vs Saints Prediction for this NFL Week 4 game on Sunday, October 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

New Orleans Saints Preview

The New Orleans Saints have a 1-3 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the NFC South. They are coming off a 24-45 home loss against the Falcons and will face the Giants, the Steelers and the Browns next.

Offensively, the Saints average 26.3 points per game, ranking 10th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 32 points per game, which is 32nd. New Orleans averages 367 total yards per game (300.8 passing and 88.5 rushing), while allowing 360.3 total yards per game (99.5 rushing and 246.3 passing).

Tyler Shough leads the Saints with 1203 passing yards with 67.2% completed passes and five touchdowns. Travis Etienne leads the team in rushing yards with 280, while Chris Olave has 35 receptions for a team-high 491 receiving yards. Defensively, Pete Werner has a team-high 25 total tackles (14 of them solo), while Chase Young leads the team in sacks, with 3.5.

Minnesota Vikings Preview

The Minnesota Vikings have a 4-0 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the NFC North. They are coming off a 15-10 home win against the Dolphins and will face the Colts, the Lions and the Bills next.

Offensively, the Vikings average 21.5 points per game, ranking 18th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 12.8 points per game, which is 1st. Minnesota averages 262.8 total yards per game (156 passing and 106.8 rushing), while allowing 289.3 total yards per game (94.5 rushing and 194.8 passing).

Kyler Murray leads the Vikings with 433 passing yards with 63.4% completed passes and one touchdown. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing yards with 297, while T.J. Hockenson has 22 receptions for a team-high 195 receiving yards. Defensively, Blake Cashman has a team-high 33 total tackles (17 of them solo), while Dallas Turner leads the team in sacks, with 5.5.

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

• The Saints have won each of their last seven Week 5 home games.
• The Vikings have lost four of their last five games without Andrew Van Ginkel.
• The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games in October.
• The Saints have won the first half in eight of their last 10 Week 5 games against NFC opponents.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in three of the Saints’ last four Week 5 games.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last nine games.
• The Saints have lost each of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven October games as underdogs.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Saints’ last six games.
• The Saints have lost the first half in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs.
• The Saints have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games following a home loss.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 10 Week 5 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Vikings’ last seven games as favorites without Carson Wentz have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Saints’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven Sunday games at Caesars Superdome have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Devaughn Vele has scored a touchdown in each of the Saints’ last two games against NFC opponents.
• Juwan Johnson has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of the Saints’ last seven games.
• Heading into Week 5, Chase Young ranks T2nd in the NFC for sacks (3.5) this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Jones has scored the first touchdown in each of his three previous October appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 220+ passing yards in seven of his last eight October appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of his last six October road appearances against NFC opponents.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 22+ completions in five of his last six October road appearances against NFC opponents.
• Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven October road appearances against NFC opponents.
• Audric Estime has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Audric Estime has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances following a win.
• Heading into Week 5, Will Reichard ranks 1st in the NFL in made field goals (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 5, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (32.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Saints rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
• Vikings – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Heading into Week 5, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (12.8) this season.

Vikings vs Saints Prediction

In this Vikings vs Saints Prediction, the Vikings are coming as -1.5 road favorites. the Vikings have been undefeated this season and are 3-1 against the spread, having the best defense in the entire NFL. The will be facing a Saints squad that has won only once this season and has lost and failed to cover back-to-back games and have the worst defense in the league. The Vikings also dominate this matchup, as they are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Saints and 3-1 against the spread, so I expect them to get the job done on the road today. Take the Vikings on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Minnesota Vikings ML