Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 10/4/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders meet Sunday in NFL action at Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pick.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Colts and Dolphins, and they play the Chargers next. The Kansas City Chiefs look for their first 4-0 start since the 2024 season. Patrick Mahomes is completing 68.4 percent of his passes for 812 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice have combined for 421 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tyquan Thornton has 6 receptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 153.3 yards per contest, and Kenneth Walker III leads the way with 360 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 16.7 points and 278 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 28 tackles, Nohl Williams has 1 sack, and Mansoor Delane has 1 interception.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Chargers and Saints, and they play the Patriots next. The Las Vegas Raiders look for their first 4-0 start since the 2002 season. Kirk Cousins is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 661 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tre Tucker and Ashton Jeanty have combined for 305 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Ashton Jeanty has 13 receptions.

The Las Vegas Raiders ground game is averaging 100 yards per contest, and Ashton Jeanty leads the way with 206 yards on 63 carries. Defensively, Las Vegas is allowing 18 points and 316.7 yards per game. Nakobe Dean leads the Las Vegas Raiders with 27 tackles, Malcolm Koonce has 2.5 sacks, and Hezekiah Mass has 3 interceptions.

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

• The Chiefs have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites.
• The Raiders have won each of their last three Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites without Jalen Hurts.
• The Raiders have covered the spread in seven of their last eight October games at Allegiant Stadium.
• The Raiders have won the first half in each of their last four games.
• The Raiders have won the first quarter in four of their last five October home games against AFC opponents.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Raiders have lost each of their last nine games without Michael Mayer.
• The Chiefs have won 16 of their last 17 games played on the West Coast.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in five of their last six Week 4 games.
• The Chiefs have won the first half in each of their last five road games against the Raiders following a road win.
• The road team has won the first quarter in three of the Chiefs’ last four Week 4 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chiefs’ last six Sunday road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Raiders’ last four home games without Michael Mayer have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eleven of the last 13 games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Nailor has scored a touchdown in each of his two previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against AFC opponents.
• Michael Mayer has recorded 26+ receiving yards in five of his last six Sunday appearances at Allegiant Stadium.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 263+ passing yards in seven of his last eight October appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five home appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Tre Tucker has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Raiders’ last five Sunday games as underdogs.
• Heading into Week 4, Kirk Cousins ranks T1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (9) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Travis Kelce has recorded 54+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last eight October games against AFC opponents.
• Kenneth Walker III has recorded 103+ rushing yards in four of his five previous appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Kenneth Walker III has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six October road appearances.
• Xavier Worthy has recorded 46+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of the Chiefs’ last 17 games following a win.
• Heading into Week 4, Kenneth Walker III ranks 1st in the NFL in broken tackles (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Raiders – six different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Heading into Week 4, the Raiders rank T1st in the NFL in interceptions (4) this season.
• Heading into Week 4, the Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (2.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 4, the Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (66.7) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

The Chiefs should get the benefit of the doubt, and they’re the better team until proven otherwise, but they’ve also struggled to put away the Dolphins and Colts. It’s fair to question how real this start is for the Raiders, but the defense is greatly improved, and the offense has upside with Bowers just getting back. There’s some pep in the Raiders’ step right now, and the crowd will show up for this one. This is one of the bigger games for the Raiders in recent memory. We’re getting a decent amount of points. I’ll take them.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Las Vegas +4.5