Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction 10/5/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Texans vs Ravens Prediction for this NFL Week 5 game on Sunday, October 5th at the M&T Bank Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Baltimore Ravens Preview

Baltimore has a 1-3 record this season and is sitting on the third place of the AFC North. They are 1-3 ATS, 4-0 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 1-1 home record. The Ravens are coming off a 20-37 road loss at Kansas City and are playing the Los Angeles Rams and Chicago Bears next.

Offensively, the Ravens average 32.8 points per game, which ranks 3rd in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 33.3 points per game, which is 32nd. Baltimore averages 338.0 total yards per game, with 133.5 rushing yards and 204.5 passing yards per game. They allow 406.8 total yards per game, with 141.3 rushing and 265.5 passing yards per game.

Lamar Jackson leads the Ravens with 869 passing yards and 71.6% completed passes. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing yards, with 284, while Zay Flowers has a team-high 23 caught passes for 305 receiving yards, and has 1 touchdown. Defensively, Kyle Hamilton has a team-high 31 total tackles, 17 of them solo. Tavius Robinson leads the Ravens in sacks, with 2, while Nate Wiggins has one interception.

Houston Texans Preview

Houston has a 1-3 record this season and is sitting on the third place of the AFC South. They are 1-3 ATS, 0-4 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 1-1 home record. The Texans are coming off a 26-0 home win over Tennessee and are playing the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers next.

Offensively, the Texans average 16.0 points per game, which ranks 29th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 12.8 points per game, which is 1st. Houston averages 288.8 total yards per game, with 103.5 rushing yards and 185.3 passing yards per game. They allow 280.5 total yards per game, with 102.3 rushing and 178.3 passing yards per game.

C.J. Stroud leads the Texans with 832 passing yards and 67.5% completed passes. Nick Chubb leads the team in rushing yards, with 188, while Nico Collins has a team-high 18 caught passes for 260 receiving yards, and has 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Azeez Al-Shaair has a team-high 28 total tackles, 17 of them solo. Danielle Hunter leads the Texans in sacks, with 4, while Derek Stingley Jr. has one interception.

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

• The Ravens have won each of their eight previous home games against the Texans.
• The Texans have lost each of their six previous Sunday games at M&T Bank Stadium.
• The Ravens have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine Sunday games as road favorites.
• The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in 13 of their last 14 Sunday games.
• The Ravens have won the first quarter in five of their last six Sunday games as home underdogs.
• The Texans have lost the first half in each of their six previous Sunday games at M&T Bank Stadium.

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Texans have won each of their last 10 October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Ravens have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last six Week 5 games.
• The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in seven of their last eight October games against AFC North opponents.
• The Texans have won the first half in each of their last nine games in October.
• The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Ravens’ last nine games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Texans’ last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of the last four Sunday games at M&T Bank Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

• Lamar Jackson has recorded 237+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Ravens as underdogs.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 109+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances against AFC South opponents.
• DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of his last 32 regular season appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine home appearances against teams with a losing record.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 82+ rushing yards in 14 of his last 15 home appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last five appearances with the Ravens as underdogs.
• Heading into Week 5, Lamar Jackson ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (10) this season.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• C.J. Stroud has recorded 233+ passing yards in eight of the Texans’ last 10 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 58+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 18 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
• Xavier Hutchinson has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of the Texans’ last six games.
• Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances on the East Coast.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 58+ rushing yards in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC North opponents.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in three of the Texans’ last four games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 5, Danielle Hunter ranks T3rd in the league for fumbles recovered (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Ravens – four different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Ravens – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Heading into Week 5, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (12.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Texans rank 32nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (49.3) this season.

Texans vs Ravens Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, the Ravens won 31-2 on the road. They have won their last six meetings against the Texans, and are 5-0 against the spread. Under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 meetings.  

In this Texans vs Ravens Prediction, the Texans are coming as -1.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 40.5 points. Both teams are struggling this season and have an identical 1-3 record. The Ravens have the third-best offense in the league, while the Texans have the best defense, but have lost both of their road games this season. Baltimore has been dominating Houston in their recent meetings, and have not lost at home for more than a decade, so I like them as home dogs in this spot. Take the Baltimore Ravens on the moneyline in this one.