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Denver Broncos vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction 10/5/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Pick details
Denver (2-2) vs Philadelphia (4-0)
October 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia -3.5 — Over/Under: +43.5
Philadelphia Eagles Preview
Philadelphia has a 4-0 record this season and is sitting on the first place of the NFC East. They are 3-1 ATS, 2-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 away record and 2-0 home record. The Eagles are coming off a 31-25 road win over Tampa Bay and are playing the New York Giants and Minnesota Vikings next.Offensively, the Eagles average 27.0 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 22.0 points per game, which is 15th. Philadelphia averages 251.5 total yards per game, with 113.5 rushing yards and 138.0 passing yards per game. They allow 333.3 total yards per game, with 126.0 rushing and 207.3 passing yards per game.
Jalen Hurts leads the Eagles with 609 passing yards and 69.3% completed passes. Saquon Barkley leads the team in rushing yards, with 237, while DeVonta Smith has a team-high 17 caught passes for 158 receiving yards, and has one touchdown. Defensively, Zack Baun has a team-high 30 total tackles, 19 of them solo. Adoree’ Jackson leads the Eagles in sacks, with 2, while Zack Baun has one interception.
Denver Broncos Preview
Denver has a 2-2 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AFC West. They are 1-2-1 ATS, 1-3 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 2-0 home record. The Broncos are coming off a 28-3 home win over Cincinnati and are playing the New York Jets and New York Giants next.Offensively, the Broncos average 24.0 points per game, which ranks 16th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 16.8 points per game, which is 2nd. Denver averages 354.5 total yards per game, with 143.3 rushing yards and 211.3 passing yards per game. They allow 285.3 total yards per game, with 99.3 rushing and 186.0 passing yards per game.
Bo Nix leads the Broncos with 861 passing yards and 65.7% completed passes. J.K. Dobbins leads the team in rushing yards, with 323, while Courtland Sutton has a team-high 18 caught passes for 266 receiving yards, and has 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Talanoa Hufanga has a team-high 28 total tackles, 17 of them solo. Nik Bonitto leads the Broncos in sacks, with 4.5, while Brandon Jones has one interception.
Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win
- The Eagles have won each of their last 12 games at Lincoln Financial Field.
- The Broncos have lost each of their last seven road games against reigning Super Bowl champions.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
- The home team has covered the spread in nine of the Broncos’ last 10 games.
- The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 14 Sunday games as home favorites.
- The home team has won the first quarter in seven of the last eight games between the Broncos and Eagles.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Broncos’ last seven games.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The Broncos have won each of their last six October games against NFC opponents.
- The Eagles have lost five of their last six Week 5 games against AFC opponents.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last five games against NFC opponents.
- The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three home games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Broncos have won the first quarter in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Broncos have won the first half in each of their last three games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games.
Total Points Facts
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- Nine of the Broncos’ last 10 games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Eagles’ last five Week 5 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last three Sunday games at Lincoln Financial Field have gone OVER the total points line.
Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Eagles’ last 10 games following a road win.
- A.J. Brown has recorded 67+ receiving yards in each of the Eagles’ last 10 October games.
- Tank Bigsby has recorded 28+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jalen Hurts has recorded 200+ passing yards in each of the Eagles’ last eight regular season home games against AFC opponents.
- Tank Bigsby has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jalen Hurts has recorded 19+ completions in each of his last three regular season home appearances.
- Heading into Week 5, Braden Mann ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (52.9) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in seven of the Broncos’ last eight games as underdogs against teams on a winning streak.
- Bo Nix has recorded 25+ rushing yards in each of the Broncos’ last four games as underdogs.
- Courtland Sutton has scored the last touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last three October games as underdogs.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five regular season road appearances.
- Evan Engram has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 October appearances.
- Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in six of the Broncos’ last seven regular season games.
- Heading into Week 5, Courtland Sutton ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 5, the Eagles rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (20.3 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, the Eagles rank 1st in the NFL in average yards per punt (52.9) this season.
- Broncos – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Heading into Week 5, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in sacks (15.0) this season.
Broncos vs Eagles Prediction
In their previous meeting back in 2021, the Eagles won 30-13 on the road, and are 3-1 in their four meetings against the Broncos. They have won both meetings in Philly and over is 3-1 in their four meetings.In this Broncos vs Eagles Prediction, the Eagles are coming as -3.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. The Eagles have been undefeated this season and 3-1 against the spread, while the Broncos have lost and failed to cover both of their road games. Philadelphia has lost only once against Denver in their recent meetings, and they are the better team in this matchup, and are playing at home. Take the Eagles and lay the -3.5 points at home in this one.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
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