Cowboys vs Bears Prediction 9/21/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cowboys vs Bears prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 21st at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys are 1-1 this season after they defeated the Giants in overtime by a score of 40-37 last week. Dallas trailed 6-0 after the first quarter and 13-10 at halftime, before leading 17-16 going into the fourth. The Cowboys took the lead with 52 seconds left, but needed a field goal to tie the game as time expired, before winning in overtime. Dallas was out gained by a total of 506-478, went 6-14 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Dak Prescott went 38-52 for 361 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Javonte Williams carried the ball 18 times for 97 yards and one score. CeeDee Lamb caught nine passes for 112 yards in the game. The Dallas defense recorded three sacks and four tackles for loss in the victory. 

Dallas started the season with a 24-20 loss against Philadelphia in week one. The Cowboys are averaging 30.0 points per game with 265.5 passing yards and 127.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 30.5 points against per game this season. Dak Prescott has completed 68.6% of his passes for 549 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while CeeDee Lamb has caught 16 passes for 222 yards. Javonte Williams is the leading rusher with 33 carries for 151 yards and three scores this season. 

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears are 0-2 this year after they lost to Detroit by a score of 52-21 last week. Chicago trailed 14-7 after the first quarter and 28-14 at halftime, before getting blown out in the second half for the bad loss. The Bears were out gained by a total of 511-339, went 7-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Caleb Willams went 19-30 for 207 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while D’Andre Swift carried the ball 12 times for 63 yards and one score. Rome Odunze led the receivers with seven catches for 128 yards and two touchdowns in the game. The Chicago defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the defeat. 

Chicago started their season with a 27-24 loss to Minnesota in week one, as they collapsed in the fourth quarter. The Bears are averaging 22.5 points per game with 201.5 passing yards and 126.5 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 39.5 points against per game this season. Caleb Williams has completed 61.5% of his passes for 417 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Rome Odunze has caught 13 passes for 165 yards and three scores. D’Andre Swift has led the Chicago rushing attack with 116 yards and one touchdown on 29 carries this year. 

Why the Bears will beat the Cowboys 

D’Andre Swift’s team has won four of its last five games with him playing against Kenny Clark.
The Cowboys have lost three of their last four games against NFC opponents.
The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four September games as favorites against NFC opponents.
The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Cowboys and Bears.
The Bears have won the first quarter in each of their last three Week 3 home games.
The Cowboys have lost the first half in four of their last five September games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Bears’ last five Sunday games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Cowboys’ last four Sunday games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

D.J. Moore has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four appearances against NFC East opponents.
Caleb Williams has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Bears’ last three Sunday games at Soldier Field.
Caleb Williams has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last five home games.
D.J. Moore has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six games as home underdogs against NFC opponents.
Cole Kmet has recorded 22+ receiving yards in nine of the Bears’ last 10 September games.
Heading into Week 3, Rome Odunze ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

Dak Prescott has recorded 271+ passing yards in eight of his last nine appearances with the Cowboys as favorites.
CeeDee Lamb has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight road games against teams with a losing record.
Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Cowboys’ last 10 Sunday regular season games as favorites.
Miles Sanders has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 14 previous Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
Jalen Tolbert has recorded 12+ receiving yards in 14 of the Cowboys’ last 16 Sunday regular season games.
Miles Sanders has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of his 14 previous Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
Heading into Week 3, Javonte Williams ranks T1st in the NFL in rushing touchdowns (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 3, the Bears rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (100.0%) this season.
Heading into Week 3, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (17.5) this season.
Cowboys – one different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
Cowboys – three different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.

David Racey is 6-3 (67%) in his last nine NFL plays this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

Cowboys vs Bears Prediction 

Chicago is coming off of a very disappointing effort against the Lions last week and they will be looking for their first win of the season here. Dallas barely escaped against the Giants in their last game, but their defense has looked very bad to start the season. The Bears should find plenty of success on offense in this matchup and I think their defense will do just enough against Dak and Company. Take Chicago to get the win at home.