Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction NFL Picks 9/12/24

Pick details

Miami Dolphins (1-0) vs Buffalo Bills (1-0)

Game Info: Thursday, September 12, 2024 at 8:15 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -2.5 / Buffalo Bills +2.5 — Over/Under: 51.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins meet in week 2 NFL action from Hard Rock Stadium on Thursday night football. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins prediction.

Buffalo Bills Recap

The Buffalo Bills come into this one looking to build on their season-opening 34-28 win over Arizona last time out. After this game, the Bills will head home for a matchup with the Jaguars.

Bills Lean On Allen In Win

Josh Allen threw for 232 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18 of 23 passing while also rushing for 39 yards and 2 touchdowns. James Cook had a team-high 71 rushing yards while Keon Coleman had 4 receptions for 51 yards. Khalil Shakir added 42 receiving yards with a touchdown and Mack Hollins added a touchdown grab as well in the win. On defense, Terrel Bernard added 11 total tackles including 10 solo tackles while Greg Rousseau added a team-high 3 sacks and Von Miller had a sack as well in the win.

Why the Buffalo Bills will win

  • The road team has won each of the Dolphins’ last seven Week 2 games.
  • The Dolphins have lost seven of their last eight Week 2 home games.
  • The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in six of the Dolphins’ last seven Week 2 games.

Miami Dolphins Recap

The Miami Dolphins will be out to build on their 20-17 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars last time out. After this game, the Dolphins will head out west to take on the Seattle Seahawks.

Tagovailoa Leads Charge For Dolphins In Victory

Tua Tagovailoa threw for 338 yards and a touchdown on 23 of 37 passing while Jeff Wilson Jr. rushed for 26 yards and De’Von Achane added 24 rushing yards and a touchdown on the ground. Tyreek Hill led the Dolphins with 7 receptions for 130 yards and a touchdown while Jaylen Waddle had 5 grabs for 109 yards and Achane added 7 receptions for 76 yards. On defense, David Long Jr. had a team-high 8 total tackles including 7 solo tackles while Emmanuel Ogbah, Jaelan Phillips, and Calais Campbell each had a sack as well in the victory.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

  • The Dolphins have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against AFC East opponents.
  • The Bills have lost three of their last four games in Florida.
  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AFC East opponents.
  • The Bills have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Hard Rock Stadium following a home win.

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction

I’m on the Bills here. The Bills have owned the Dolphins in recent years and without De’Von Achane, that takes away a dimension of this Dolphin offense. I have to admit I was impressed with what Josh Allen was able to do with a new receiving group and I think that the Bills get it done on the road in this one. Give me the Bills here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Buffalo +2.5

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