Pick details
| MATCHUP | Buffalo Bills | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Spread | -4.5 -118 | +4.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | -230 | +190 |
| Total | Over 53.5 (-115) | Under 53.5 (-105) |
| Where | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Sunday, October 18, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:25 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBS | |
The Buffalo Bills and Las Vegas Raiders meet Sunday in NFL action at Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a Buffalo Bills vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prediction. This article will include a Buffalo Bills vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pick.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bills beat the Rams, lost to the Patriots, and they play the Ravens next. The Bills have won 4 of their last 5 games. Josh Allen is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 1,249 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir have combined for 533 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Keon Coleman has 15 receptions.
The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 158 yards per contest, and James Cook III leads the way with 532 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 28.2 points and 388.6 yards per game. Dorian Williams leads the Buffalo Bills with 41 tackles, Greg Rousseau has 6 sacks, and C.J. Gardner-Johnson has 1 interception.
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders lost to the Chiefs and Patriots, and they play the Rams next. The Las Vegas Raiders have won 4 of their last 6 games. Kirk Cousins is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,269 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Tre Tucker and Brock Bowers have combined for 586 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Ashton Jeanty has 22 receptions.
The Las Vegas Raiders ground game is averaging 82 yards per contest, and Ashton Jeanty leads the way with 291 yards on 88 carries. Defensively, Las Vegas is allowing 25.8 points and 377 yards per game. Nakobe Dean leads the Las Vegas Raiders with 44 tackles, Malcolm Koonce has 3 sacks, and Hezekiah Mass has 3 interceptions.
Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win
- The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Bills and Raiders.
- The Bills have lost three of their last four games as road favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in eight of their last nine October games at Allegiant Stadium.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites against starting rookie QBs.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Bills’ last three games.
- The Bills have lost the first half in four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Buffalo Bills will win
- The Raiders have lost each of their last 15 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bills have won 14 of their last 15 games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Bills have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites after coming off overtime.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games without Michael Mayer.
- The Bills have won the first quarter in each of their last two road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bills have won the first half in eight of their last nine day games after coming off overtime.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Raiders’ last 10 home day games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Bills’ last eight Sunday games played on the West Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 249+ passing yards in 10 of his last 12 October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Michael Mayer has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last four home games.
- Tre Tucker has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Raiders’ last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
- Heading into Week 6, Maxx Crosby ranks T1st in the NFL in quarterback hurries (9) this season.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- James Cook has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Bills’ last four regular season road games.
- James Cook has recorded 114+ rushing yards in each of the Bills’ last four day games against AFC West opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 253+ passing yards in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 road games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- James Cook has recorded 120+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last five games against AFC West opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 22+ completions in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 road games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in eight of the Bills’ last nine games against teams on a losing streak.
- Khalil Shakir has recorded 50+ receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last four road games.
- Heading into Week 6, Gregory Rousseau ranks T1st in the league for forced fumbles (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Raiders rank T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (80.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, seven different Raiders players have recorded a receiving touchdown this season – equal-most in the league.
- Bills – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Bills – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
I’m looking at the over in this spot. The over is 7-3 in the 10 games these teams have played. The Bills are 30th in total defense and 28th in scoring defense. The Raiders are 27th in total defense and 23rd in scoring defense. The Bills are second in scoring offense while the Raiders are eighth in scoring offense. This should be a fun back-and-forth, high-scoring game. I’m going to side with the over.
