Bengals vs Dolphins Prediction 12/21/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Bengals vs Dolphins prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, December 21st at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 16 matchup.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals are 4-10 this season after they lost to Baltimore by a score of 24-0 in their last game. Cincinnati trailed 14-0 at halftime and allowed 10 points in the second half in the shutout loss. The Bengals were out gained by a total of 317-298, went 3-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Joe Burrow went 25-39 for 225 yards and two interceptions, while Chase Brown rushed 13 times for 53 yards. Ja’Marr Chase led the receivers with 10 receptions for 132 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Cincinnati lost to the Bills by a score of 39-34, but did beat the Ravens by a score of 32-14 before that. The Bengals have lost six of their last seven games and they are currently third in the AFC North standings. Cincinnati has scored 22.4 points per game with 226.6 passing yards and 87.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 31.2 points against per game this season. Joe Burrow has thrown for 959 yards, eight touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Ja’Marr Chase has 101 receptions for 1,147 yards and five scores this season. 

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins are 6-8 this year after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 28-15 in their last game. Miami led 3-0 in the second quarter, but trailed 7-3 at halftime and allowed 21 points in the second half in the loss. The Dolphins were out gained by a total of 336-285, went 2-8 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Tua Tagovailoa went 22-28 for 253 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while De’Von Achane rushed 12 times for 60 yards. Achane also led the receivers with six catches for 67 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Miami defeated the Jets by a score of 34-10 and the Saints by a score of 21-17. The Dolphins have won four of their last five games and they are currently third in the AFC East standings. Miami has scored 21.1 points per game with 181.3 passing yards and 121.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.1 points against per game this season. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 53 yards, zero touchdowns, and zero interceptions, on just eight attempts, while De’Von Achane has rushed for 1,186 yards and seven scores on 205 carries this season. 

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Bengals have lost each of their last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Dolphins have won five of their last six December games as home underdogs.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last six December games as home underdogs.
• The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games without Chase Brown.
• The Bengals have lost the first quarter in three of their last four December games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Bengals have lost the first half in three of their last four Sunday games.

Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win

• The Dolphins have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Bengals have won each of their last six Sunday games as road favorites.
• The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites following a loss.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against AFC North opponents.
• The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last six December games as underdogs against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Dolphins’ last seven games at Hard Rock Stadium following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Bengals’ last five road games without Tanner Hudson have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• Jeff Wilson Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in each of his two previous home appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs in Florida.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 82+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs in Florida.
• Heading into Week 16, Jaylen Waddle ranks T4th in the AFC for 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

• Chase Brown has recorded 53+ rushing yards in each of the Bengals’ last four games following a loss.
• Chase Brown has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Bengals’ last eight games.
• Chase Brown has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bengals’ last four games as favorites following a home loss.
• Tanner Hudson has recorded 10+ receiving yards in nine of his 10 previous appearances following a home loss.
• Joe Flacco has recorded 223+ passing yards in each of his last seven regular season appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Joe Flacco has recorded 21+ completions in 19 of his last 20 Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Heading into Week 16, Joe Flacco has recorded the most passing yards in a single game this season (470 vs Bears, Week 9).

Matchup/League Facts

• Dolphins – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Dolphins – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Heading into Week 16, the Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (31.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 16, the Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (403.8) this season.

Bengals vs Dolphins Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup after having their winning streak snapped last week and they are making a change at quarterback, as Ewers will get the start. The Dolphins are 4-3 at home this year and their defense has been pretty solid over the last few weeks, but they struggled against the Steelers last week. Cincinnati played very poorly in last week’s shutout loss to Baltimore and they have an awful defense, so it will be interesting to see if Ewers can find success. I think Cincinnati will have a bounce back day on offense, but I also think Ewers and Achane can have a big day against this leaky Cincinnati defense. Take the over here.

David Racey is 93-71 (57%) in the NFL this season and is one of the top NFL cappers on the NFL Leaderboard. David went 10-2 in the NFL last Sunday/Monday. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

David Racey's Pick: Over 47.5