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Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Prediction NFL Picks 12/29/24
Pick details
Washington Commanders (10-5) vs Atlanta Falcons (8-7)
Game Info: Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 8:20 pm (Northwest Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Commanders -4 / Atlanta Falcons +4 — Over/Under: 46.5
The Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders meet Sunday in week 17 NFL action at Northwest Stadium. Here’s an Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Pick.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Raiders and Giants, and play the Panthers next. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last 6 road games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 240 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Drake London and Darnell Mooney have combined for 1,933 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Ray-Ray McCloud III has 57 receptions.
The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 124.4 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 1,196 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 23.3 points and 335.4 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 131 tackles, Arnold Ebiketie has 5 sacks and Jessie Bates III has 4 interceptions.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders beat the Eagles and Saints, and they play the Cowboys next. The Washington Commanders have won 6 of their last 8 home games. Jayden Daniels is completing 69.7 percent of his passes for 3,303 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 1,567 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns, while Noah Brown has 35 receptions.
The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 152.7 yards per contest, and Daniels leads the way with 737 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 23.2 points and 322.9 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 118 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has 9.5 sacks and Mike Sainristil has 2 interceptions.
Why the Washington Commanders Will Win
- The Falcons have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Commanders have won six of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.
- The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Commanders have covered the spread in five of their last six games against the Falcons.
- The Falcons have lost the first half in seven of their last eight December games as underdogs.
- The Commanders have won the first quarter in four of their last five games.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Commanders’ last four December games.
- Terry McLaurin has scored two touchdowns in three of the Commanders’ last four games following a home win.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 226+ passing yards in four of the Commanders’ last five home games against NFC opponents.
- Brian Robinson has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances with the Commanders as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 44+ rushing yards in each of the Commanders’ last four games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Zach Ertz has recorded 33+ receiving yards in 30 of his last 31 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Commanders’ last four games against NFC opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Commanders’ last two Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- Heading into Week 17, Frankie Luvu ranks 1st in the league for times blitzed (107) this season.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 92+ rushing yards in five of the Falcons’ last six games.
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 68+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in six of the Falcons’ last seven games against NFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 291+ passing yards in each of his last four December appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of his last four regular-season appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last five December appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most passing yards in a single game this season (509 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 17, the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (4.4) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (9.7) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Falcons rank 30th in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (9.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Falcons rank 29th in the NFL in total punt yards (2068) this season.
Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Prediction
It’s hard to know if the Atlanta Falcons have figured things out, as they’re coming off wins over the Raiders and Giants. The Washington Commanders have played their best ball at home, they’re more trustworthy offensively, and they’re 9-5-1 ATS on the season. Do the Falcons have enough horses offensively to keep up? I guess we’ll find out. I’ll still take the Commanders at home by a touchdown.
