Buffalo Bills (11-3) vs New England Patriots (3-11)
Game Info: Sunday, December 22, 2024 at 4:25 pm (Highmark Stadium)
Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills -14 / New England Patriots +14 --- Over/Under: 45 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: CBS
The New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills meet in week 16 NFL action from Highmark Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills prediction.
New England Patriots Recap
The New England Patriots come into this game looking to bounce back from a 30-17 loss to Arizona last time out. After this game, New England will head home to take on the Los Angeles Chargers.
Patriots Lose 4th Straight
Drake Maye has thrown for 1,898 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 9 INTs on 68.5% passing this season while Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 828 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an interception on 59.1% passing. Rhamondre Stevenson leads New England on the ground with 740 rushing yards and 6 TDs while Antonio Gibson’s added 406 rushing yards. Hunter Henry leads the Pats with 635 receiving yards and 62 receptions while DeMario Douglas has 508 receiving yards and 55 grabs. Austin Hooper and Kayshon Boutte each have 300+ receiving yards while another three more Patriot receivers have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jahlani Tavai has a team-high 95 total tackles with Keion White and Deatrich Wise Jr. each logging a team-high 5 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, New England’s defense has combined for 27 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won 10 of their last 11 Week 16 road games against AFC opponents.
- The Bills have lost five of their last six Week 16 home games against AFC East opponents.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last five December games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five December home games against AFC East opponents.
Buffalo Bills Recap
The Buffalo Bills come into this one looking to build on a 48-42 win over Detroit to climb to 11-3 on the year. After this game, the Bills will welcome the New York Jets to town.
Bills Still Looking For Home Field
Josh Allen has thrown for 3,395 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 64.4% passing while also rushing for 484 yards and 11 touchdowns. James Cook has a team-high 828 rushing yards with 13 TDs while Ray Davis has 357 rushing yards and 3 TDs. Khalil Shakir has a team-high 71 receptions for 774 yards and 4 touchdowns while Keon Coleman has 481 receiving yards and 3 TDs. Dalton Kincaid also has 409 receiving yards as well. Six more Bills have 200+ receiving yards on the year as well. On defense, Dorian Williams has a team-high 100 total tackles including 62 solo tackles while Greg Rousseau has a team-high 7.5 sacks and AJ Epenesa has 5 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, Buffalo’s defense has put up 32 sacks and 13 interceptions this season.
Why the Buffalo Bills will win
- The Bills have won each of their last 13 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Patriots have lost 14 of their last 15 games played on the East Coast.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 16 games against AFC East opponents.
- The Bills have covered the spread in five of their last six games as favorites against AFC opponents.
Patriots vs. Bills Prediction
I’m on the Bills here. The Patriots have been coasting to the finish line and look like a team that’s waved the white flag on the season and are playing for draft position. Buffalo is still trying to fight for home-field advantage as the Chiefs have QB issues right now and Buffalo holds the head-to-head tiebreaker. New England’s been crushed by far less this season and I think the Bills rout New England here. Give me Buffalo.
Chris’s Pick Buffalo -14
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
