Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Prediction NFL Picks 12/15/24

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos are 8-5 this season after they defeated Cleveland by a score of 41-32 in their last game. Denver trailed 28-25 in the third and 32-31 in the fourth, but they scored the last ten points in the game for the win and cover. The Broncos were outgained by a total of 552-400, won the turnover battle 3-2, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Bo Nix threw for 294 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Marvin Mims Jr. caught three passes for 105 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Broncos defeated the Raiders by a score of 29-19 and the Falcons by a score of 38-6. The Denver offense has scored 23.5 points per game with 209 passing yards and 111.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18.0 points per game this season. Bo Nix has completed 63.8% of his passes for 2,842 yards, 17 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Courtland Sutton has caught 63 passes for 846 yards and five scores. 

Why the Broncos will beat the Colts

• The home team has won each of the Colts' last six Week 15 games.
• The Colts have lost 15 of their last 16 games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Broncos' last seven games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
• The home team has won the first quarter in six of the last eight games between the Colts and Broncos.
• The Colts have lost the first half in six of their last seven games at Empower Field at Mile High against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Colts will beat the Broncos

• The Colts have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against AFC West opponents.
• The Broncos have lost seven of their last eight Week 15 home games.
• The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Broncos have lost the first half in seven of their last eight Week 15 home games.
• The Broncos have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Week 15 games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Broncos' last six games following a win has gone OVER the total points line.
• Eleven of the Colts' last 13 Week 15 games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Bo Nix has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Broncos' last four Sunday games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• Bo Nix has recorded 273+ passing yards in each of the Broncos' last three Sunday games as favorites.
• Courtland Sutton has recorded 74+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos' last four games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 37+ rushing yards in 12 of his last 13 Sunday appearances with the Broncos as home favorites.
• Javonte Williams has scored a touchdown in three of the Broncos' last four December games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances with the Broncos as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Broncos' last three Sunday games.
• Heading into Week 15, Patrick Surtain has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Raiders, Week 5).

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Richardson has recorded 175+ passing yards in three of his last four Sunday road appearances.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 103+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 96+ rushing yards in each of his last four December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in each of his last three December road appearances against AFC opponents.
• Josh Downs has recorded 60+ receiving yards in seven of the Colts' last eight games as underdogs.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his five previous December road appearances against AFC opponents.
• Julian Blackmon is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 15, the Broncos rank T2nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (18.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Broncos rank T2nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (3.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Colts rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (147.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Colts rank 31st in the NFL in time of possession per game (26:19) this season.

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Prediction 

Denver rolls into this matchup on a three-game winning streak and they have scored 29+ points in all three victories. The Broncos have really leaned on their defense this season, but their offense is starting to wake up and they are stringing wins together. Indianapolis was able to get a win over lowly New England in their last game, but their offense has been inconsistent with Richardson at quarterback. We have seen the Colts really struggle to score points against solid teams (13 against Minnesota, 20 against Buffalo, and 6 against Detroit) and I think we are going to see another lower-scoring game here. Take the under in this game.