Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 12/15/24

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 3-10 this season after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 27-14 in their last game. Cleveland led 7-3 after the first quarter, but they allowed the next 24 points in the game for the loss. The Browns outgained Pittsburgh by a total of 300-267, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 2-13 on third down in the game. Jameis Winston threw for 212 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy caught five passes for 64 yards and one score. 

Prior to that loss, the Browns lost to Denver by a score of 41-32 but did beat the Steelers by a score of 24-19 before that. The Cleveland offense has scored 17.8 points per game with 224.5 passing yards and 88.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.8 points per game this season. Jameis Winston has completed 60.9% of his passes for 1,975 yards, 13 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy has caught 59 passes for 944 yards and four scores. 

Why the Browns will beat the Chiefs

• The Browns have won each of their last nine games at Huntington Bank Field against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Chiefs have lost each of their last two games as road favorites following a Division game.
• The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Huntington Bank Field following a Division loss.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.
• The Chiefs have lost the first half in four of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
• The Browns have won the first quarter in four of their last five December games against AFC opponents.

Why the Chiefs will beat the Browns

• The Chiefs have won 18 of their last 19 games.
• The Browns have lost 16 of their last 17 games against AFC West opponents on a winning streak.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in four of their last five games against AFC North opponents.
• The favorites have won the first half in each of the Chiefs' last four games.
• The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last three December home games against AFC West opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Chiefs' last eight road games in December have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Browns' last four Week 15 games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Jameis Winston has recorded 280+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
• David Njoku has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Browns' last six December games.
• Cedric Tillman has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances following a loss.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 45+ rushing yards in each of his nine previous December home appearances.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jameis Winston has thrown three or more touchdowns in two of his last three Week 15 appearances.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Browns' last four Sunday games.
• Heading into Week 15, Denzel Ward ranks 1st in the league for passes defensed (19) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 254+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs' last five Week 15 games.
• Travis Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Chiefs' last four games against the Browns.
• Samaje Perine has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs' last seven games as favorites.
• Kareem Hunt has recorded 40+ rushing yards in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Chiefs as road favorites.
• Kareem Hunt has recorded 63+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Chiefs as road favorites.
• Patrick Mahomes has thrown three touchdowns in each of the Chiefs' last two road games.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Chiefs' last six games as favorites following a win.
• Justin Reid is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 15, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in Q2 points per game (3.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Browns rank 31st in the NFL in average kickoff return (23.8 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Chiefs rank T2nd in the NFL in Q4 win percentage (61.5) this season.
• Heading into Week 15, the Chiefs rank 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (88.3) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this matchup after picking up another loss last week. The Browns have played pretty well offensively in each of their last two games, but turnovers and missed field goals have cost them. Kansas City continues to have one of the best records in the NFL this season, but they are playing in a lot of close games. The Chiefs have won their last three games by a combined seven points, but they should have plenty of success against this bad Cleveland defense. I think we are going to see plenty of points in this game, as Jameis will sling the ball around as well. Take the over here.