New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction NFL Picks 11/24/24

Miami Dolphins (4-6) vs New England Patriots (3-8)

Game Info: Sunday, November 24, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -7 --- Over/Under: 46 Click Here for the Latest Odds

In this article, we will formulate a New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction for this NFL Week 12 game on Sunday, November 24th, at the Hard Rock Stadium.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Patriots’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Dolphins’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New England

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent betting trends in games played between New England 

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Patriots and Dolphins

Patriots Back to Struggling

The Patriots dominated the game two games ago against the Chicago Bears 19-3 but in the last game against the Rams, they were back to the struggles. The Patriots scored 22 points against the Rams but the defense gave up 28 points and that led to the defeat. Drake Maye completed 30 of his 40 passes for 282 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Kendrick Bourne was back and he caught 70 yards and a touchdown. 

The Patriots are averaging 16.55 points while their defense is giving up 22.55 points per game. The offense is ranked 30th in the league while the defense is ranked 18th. In this game, Maye is going to need to have a strong game and he can’t be turning the ball over. 

Dolphins Can’t Lose This Game

The Dolphins sit with a 4-6 record and if they want to make the playoffs, they are going to need to continue to win games, including on Sunday. In the last game against the Las Vegas Raiders, the Dolphins scored 34 points and they ended up cruising to a 15-point victory. Tua Tagovailoa completed 28 of his 36 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns. De’von Achane finished with 17 carries for 73 yards and a touchdown. Jonnu Smith was the top wide receiver, finishing with six catches for 131 yards and two touchdowns. 

The Dolphins are averaging 18.1 points while their defense is giving up 22.1 points per game. The offense is ranked 27th in the league while the defense is ranked 15th. Jeff Wilson Jr is dealing with a knee injury and is questionable for this game. 

Why the Dolphins Will Beat the Patriots

  • The Dolphins have won each of their last nine November games at Hard Rock Stadium.
  • The Patriots have lost 12 of their last 13 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against the Patriots.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games in Florida.
  • The Dolphins have won the first quarter in four of their last five home games against the Patriots following a home win.
  • The Patriots have lost the first half in nine of their last 10 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

The Dolphins are going to try to make another statement in this game. The Dolphins' offense scored 34 points in the last game, and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. The Patriots' defense is going to really struggle to slow down Achane, especially, and it’s going to be the Dolphins that find success in this game. The Patriots are going to have no answer here. Back the Dolphins against the spread here. 

Shane’s Pick Miami Dolphins -7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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