Pittsburgh Steelers vs Washington Commanders Prediction NFL Picks 11/10/24

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders are 7-2 this season after they defeated the Giants by a score of 27-22 in their last game. Washington led 21-7 at the half and 27-16 in the fourth, but they had to hang on for the win late in the game. The Commanders outgained New York by a total of 358-326, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-12 on third down in the game. Jayden Daniels threw for 209 yards and two touchdowns, while Noah Brown caught five passes for 60 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Commanders defeated Chicago by a score of 18-15 and Carolina by a score of 40-17. The Washington offense has scored 29.2 points per game with 228.1 passing yards and 163.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21 points per game this season. Jayden Daniels has completed 71.5% of his passes for 1,945 yards, nine touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Terry McLaurin has caught 42 passes for 598 yards and six scores. 

Why the Commanders will beat the Steelers

• The favorites have won each of the Commanders' last seven games at Northwest Stadium.
• The Steelers have lost each of their last three road games against NFC East opponents on a winning streak.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four road games against NFC East opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games following a win.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in six of their last seven Sunday games as underdogs.

Why the Steelers will beat the Commanders

• The Steelers have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Commanders have lost seven of their last eight games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Northwest Stadium following a Division game.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last five Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• The Steelers have won the first half in eight of their last nine games against the Commanders.
• The Commanders have lost the first quarter in four of their last five home games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Commanders' last four games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Ten of the Steelers' last 12 games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight November appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Zach Ertz has recorded 40+ receiving yards in 21 of his last 22 Sunday appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 238+ passing yards in each of the Commanders' last three games against AFC North opponents.
• Brian Robinson has recorded 59+ rushing yards in nine of his last 11 Sunday appearances with the Commanders as favorites.
• Austin Ekeler has recorded 87+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC North opponents.
• Zach Ertz is just one away from 50 career touchdowns (including playoffs).

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Justin Fields has recorded 46+ rushing yards in 14 of his last 16 appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 50+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances following a win.
• Russell Wilson has recorded 223+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances.
• Jaylen Warren has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances following a home win.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 15+ receiving yards in eight of the Steelers' last nine games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Russell Wilson has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last six November appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Russell Wilson has thrown two or more touchdowns in nine of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog on the East Coast.
• Minkah Fitzpatrick is just one away from 20 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 10, the Commanders rank T2nd in the NFL in Q2 points per game (10.6) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Commanders rank 2nd in the NFL in H1 points per game (16.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Steelers rank 2nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (14.9) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Washington Commanders Prediction

Washington comes into this matchup on a three-game winning streak and while they have played well this season, their last three wins came against some teams that are towards the bottom of their respective divisions. Pittsburgh has also won three games in a row against some lesser teams, but they have scored 26+ points in those three victories. Pittsburgh is 3-1 on the road this year, while Washington is 4-0 at home. I know the Steelers aren’t known for their offense, but they have looked pretty strong recently and play a Washington defense that I have some concerns about. Take the over in this matchup.