New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction NFL Picks 11/10/24

Pick details

Chicago Bears (4-4) vs New England Patriots (2-7)

November 10, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Bears -6.5 / New England Patriots +6.5 — Over/Under: 42

(Get latest betting odds)

The New England Patriots and the Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL action from Soldier Field. Here’s a New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Patriots vs Bears pick. We will examine:

The New England Patriots’ recent form and player performance

The Chicago Bears’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New England Patriots

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago Bears

Recent betting trends in games played between the Patriots and Bears

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Patriots vs Bears game

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The Patriots managed a 1-3 start this year, beating the Bengals before losses to the Seahawks, Jets, and 49ers. New England would lose to the Dolphins, Texans, and Jaguars in the next trio before finally getting another win versus New York in the rematch.

Matched up against the Titans on Sunday, New England posted 14 points in the second half to force overtime but eventually fell 20-17. QB Drake Maye logged 206 yards, one TD, and two picks. Maye also led the rush with eight carries for 95 yards. Hunter Henry caught seven balls for 56 yards as lead receiver.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they beat the Titans in their opener this year before losses to the Texans and Colts. Chicago would win the next three over the Rams, Panthers, and Jaguars before another loss to the Commanders.

In their game versus the Cardinals last weekend, Chicago went into halftime with a 21-9 deficit and limped to a 29-9 defeat. QB Caleb Williams logged 217 yards passing, while D’Andre Swift came up with 16 carries for just 51 yards. Rome Odunze caught five balls for 104 yards to top the receivers.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Bears’ last five games against AFC East opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Patriots’ last seven games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

  • Cole Kmet has recorded 34+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Bears’ last eight games as favorites following a loss.
  • D’Andre Swift has recorded 73+ rushing yards in four of the Bears’ last five Sunday games.
  • D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in four of the Bears’ last five Sunday games.
  • Keenan Allen has recorded 48+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC East opponents.
  • Jaylon Johnson is just three away from 10 career interceptions.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

  • Antonio Gibson has recorded 37+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous November appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Antonio Gibson has recorded 21+ rushing yards in eight of his nine previous November appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • Austin Hooper has scored a touchdown in each of his last three Week 10 road appearances.
  • Kendrick Bourne has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • Drake Maye has recorded 206+ passing yards in three of the Patriots’ last four Sunday games as underdogs.
  • Drake Maye has recorded 20+ completions in three of the Patriots’ last four games.
  • Kyle Dugger is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction

I’m going to stay in New England. The Pats shot themselves in the foot several times during their overtime loss to Tennessee. New England posted three turnovers and eight penalties for 58 yards while going just 3-of-11 on third downs. That makes 17 or fewer points in two of the last three games.

As for Chicago, they’re coming off another rough loss. The Bears’ defense was pretty good against the pass (137 yards) but folded against the rush (213 yards) in that one. Offensively Chicago mustered just 3.4 yards per play and 69 yards on the ground. Coming back home should offer a shot in the arm for the Bears but I don’t think they’ll cover.

Andrew Jett's Pick: New England Patriots +6.5

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