Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction NFL Picks 11/10/24

New Orleans Saints (2-7) vs Atlanta Falcons (6-3)

Game Info: Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Caesars Superdome)

Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints +3.5 / Atlanta Falcons -3.5 --- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in week 11 NFL action at Caesars Superdome. Here’s an Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Pick.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Buccaneers and Cowboys, and they play the Broncos next. The Atlanta Falcons have won 3 straight road games. Kirk Cousins is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 2,328 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Darnell Mooney and Drake London have combined for 1,140 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 30 receptions.

The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 118.4 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 632 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 24 points and 351.4 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 78 tackles, Grady Jarrett has 2.5 sacks and Jessie Bates III has 2 interceptions.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

The New Orleans Saints lost to the Chargers and Panthers, and they play the Browns next. The New Orleans Saints have lost 3 straight home games. Derek Carr is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 1,225 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Chris Olave and Alvin Kamara have combined for 767 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Rashid Shaheed has 20 receptions.

The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 125.3 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 660 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 25.4 points and 376.4 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 56 tackles, Bryan Bresee has 4 sacks and Paulson Adebo has 3 interceptions.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

  • The Saints have lost each of their last eight games at Caesars Superdome against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Falcons have won six of their last seven games against NFC opponents.
  • The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games at Caesars Superdome against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Saints have lost the first half in four of their last five Week 10 games against NFC opponents.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

  • Derek Carr has recorded 239+ passing yards in five of his six previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC South opponents.
  • Alvin Kamara has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of the Saints' last six November games.
  • Taysom Hill has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances following a road loss.
  • Jamaal Williams has recorded 10+ rushing yards in 16 of his last 17 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Jamaal Williams has recorded 19+ rushing and receiving yards in 28 of his last 30 appearances against division opponents.
  • Derek Carr has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of his last four Sunday home appearances.
  • Derek Carr has recorded 22+ completions in each of his five previous appearances against the Falcons.
  • Heading into Week 10, Carl Granderson ranks 2nd in the NFL in quarterback hurries (12) this season.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 265+ passing yards in five of his last six November appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Kyle Pitts has recorded 51+ receiving yards in five of the Falcons' last six games as favorites following a win.
  • Drake London has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons' last four games as favorites following a win.
  • Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons' last three games following a win.
  • Bijan Robinson has recorded 105+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons' last four Sunday games as favorites.
  • Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last seven November appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 25+ completions in each of his last three Week 10 appearances.
  • Heading into Week 10, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most passing yards in a single game this season (509 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 10, the Saints rank 31st in the NFL in Q3 points per game (2.4) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Saints rank T3rd in the NFL in forced fumbles (9) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Falcons rank 4th in the NFL in 4th down percentage (73.3%) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Falcons rank 28th in the NFL in total punt yards (1186) this season.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction

The New Orleans Saints are a mess right now, as they've lost 7 straight games and are 1-6 ATS in those games. The Saints just lost to the Panthers and then responded by firing their coach. The Atlanta Falcons are far and away the more trustworthy team, the offense has picked up, and the defense keeps getting timely stops. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. I can't get behind the Saints. Give me the Falcons by a touchdown on the road.

Randy’s Pick Atlanta Falcons -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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