Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 10/27/24

Pick details

Cleveland Browns (1-6) vs Baltimore Ravens (4-2)

October 27, 2024 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Browns +9.5 / Baltimore Ravens -9.5 — Over/Under: 45

(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns meet Sunday in NFL action from Huntington Bank Field. Here’s a Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ravens vs Browns pick. We will examine:

The Baltimore Ravens’ recent form and player performance

The Cleveland Browns’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Ravens

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Browns

Recent betting trends in games played between the Ravens and Browns

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Ravens vs Browns game

Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

Baltimore kicked off their 2024 campaign with a couple of losses, falling to the Chiefs and Raiders. The Ravens would hit a winning streak after that, however, winning their next four over the Cowboys, Bills, Bengals, and Commanders.

In Monday’s game versus the Buccaneers, the Ravens scored 17 points in both the second and third quarters during a 41-31 win. QB Lamar Jackson finished with 281 yards and a whopping five touchdowns through the air. Rashod Bateman led the receivers with four grabs for 121 yards and a TD.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

Over on the Cleveland side, they managed to beat the Jaguars 18-13 in game two, but aside from that their first six games were all futile endeavors. The Browns lost to the Cowboys, Giants, Raiders, Commanders, and Eagles otherwise.

On Sunday versus Cincinnati, the Browns scored eight unanswered points in the fourth quarter but still lost 21-14. Deshaun Watson finished with 128 passing yards, and Cedric Tillman led the receivers on eight grabs for 81 yards. Nick Chubb also logged a rush score.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Ravens’ last eight road games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of the Browns’ last seven October home games against AFC North opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances with the Browns as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in 22 of his last 23 home appearances.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 234+ passing yards in eight of his nine previous Sunday appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • David Njoku has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last nine regular-season appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 45+ rushing yards in 34 of his last 35 home appearances.
  • Nick Chubb has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four October appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has thrown three or more touchdowns in six of his eight previous October home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 18+ completions in 17 of his last 19 Sunday home appearances.
  • Heading into Week 8, Denzel Ward ranks 1st in the league for passes defensed (12) this season.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

  • Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 14 of his last 15 Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 96+ rushing and receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 272+ passing yards in five of the Ravens’ last six games as favorites following a win.
  • Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in three of the Ravens’ last four Sunday games as favorites.
  • Isaiah Likely has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last six games following a road win.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 92+ rushing yards in 14 of his last 15 Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last three Sunday games as favorites.
  • Lamar Jackson has thrown four or more touchdowns in each of the Ravens’ last two games as road favorites.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in four of the Ravens’ last five games against AFC opponents.

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

I’ll go with Baltimore. The Ravens had some wild stats (both good and bad) in their Monday win over Tampa Bay, but they got the job done. Baltimore posted 508 total yards (264 passing) with 9.4 yards per play and 22 first downs. The nine penalties didn’t help matters, though. On defense, the Ravens gave up 481 yards (356 passing) with 29 first downs and a stellar 12-of-18 on third-down tries. Honestly, Baltimore’s defense should have a much easier time here.

As for Cleveland, they had a pretty rough loss against the Bengals last weekend despite holding Cincinnati to just 223 yards (164 passing), 12 first downs, and 2-of-13 on third-down tries. The Browns also put up a couple of interceptions and had 10 penalties in the defeat. Cleveland hasn’t scored more than 18 points in any game this year so it’s tough to trust them right now.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Baltimore Ravens -9.5

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