Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction NFL Picks 10/27/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Falcons

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Falcons and Buccaneers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Falcons vs Buccaneers game

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Atlanta started off the season on a rough 1-2 run, beating the Eagles 22-21 in between losses to the Steelers 18-10 and Chiefs 22-17. The Falcons hit a winning streak after that though, beating the Saints, Buccaneers, and Panthers.

In the Seahawks game last weekend, the Falcons gave up 14 points in the second quarter and 10 in the fourth during a 34-14 loss. Kirk Cousins logged 232 pass yards with a TD and two interceptions. Tops in rushing was Bijan Robinson with 21 totes for 103 yards and a TD.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Over on the Buccaneers’ side, they went 3-1 over their first four games. The loss came 26-7 versus the Broncos; the wins were over the Commanders, Lions, and Eagles. After an OT loss to the Falcons, Tampa Bay took out the Saints 51-27 in game six.

On Monday versus the Ravens, the Buccaneers found some life in the fourth quarter with 21 points but they ended up being cosmetic in a 41-31 loss. Quarterback Baker Mayfield logged 370 yards with three TDs and two interceptions. Cade Otton caught eight balls for 100 yards, and Rachaad White had a couple of receiving scores.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Falcons' last 10 games as favorites against the Buccaneers have gone OVER the total points line.
• Nine of the Buccaneers' last 10 games as underdogs against the Falcons have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven games between NFC South teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

• Rachaad White has recorded 38+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers' last 10 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• Mike Evans has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Buccaneers' last six regular season games as underdogs.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 283+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers' last four games as home underdogs.
• Mike Evans has scored the first touchdown in three of the Buccaneers' last four games in Florida.
• Rachaad White has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers' last nine regular season home games.
• Rachaad White has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers' last 10 home games against NFC opponents.
• Baker Mayfield has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers' last seven games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Buccaneers' last four games at Raymond James Stadium.
• Heading into Week 8, Baker Mayfield ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (18) this season.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Pitts has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of the Falcons' last five October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Tyler Allgeier has recorded 45+ rushing yards in four of the Falcons' last five road games against NFC South opponents.
• Drake London has scored a touchdown in four of the Falcons' last five games against NFC opponents.
• Tyler Allgeier has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Falcons' last five road games against NFC South opponents.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 317+ passing yards in three of his four previous appearances against the Buccaneers.
• Kirk Cousins has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of his two previous October appearances with his team as a favorite against the Buccaneers.
• Heading into Week 8, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most passing yards in a single game this season (509 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

I’ll stick with the Buccaneers. On Monday Tampa Bay gave up a ton of offense to the Ravens. The Bucs surrendered 508 total yards (264 passing), 9.4 yards per play, and 22 first downs. The good news is that the Tampa Bay offense notched 481 yards (356 passing), 29 first downs, and an excellent 12-of-18 on third-down conversions. That said, the Buccaneers committed eight penalties for 75 yards and had a couple of turnovers. A lot of the production came in garbage time as well.

As for the Falcons, they couldn’t get out of their own way in the loss to the Seahawks over the weekend. Atlanta committed nine penalties for 72 yards and also had three turnovers on offense. In their three previous games (all wins), the Falcons scored at least 26 points. I like a decent total here as well as a close finish but I don’t think Atlanta will quite cover.