Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Prediction NFL Picks 9/29/24

The Denver Broncos and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from the MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Denver Broncos vs New York Jets prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Broncos vs Jets pick. We will examine:

The Denver Broncos’ recent form and player performance

The New York Jets’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Denver Broncos

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Jets

Recent betting trends in games played between the Broncos and Jets

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Broncos vs Jets game

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

Denver kicked things off this year with a matchup versus the Seattle Seahawks. The Broncos were outscored 17-7 in the second half and ended up losing 26-20. Week two was another loss for Denver, this time 13-6 versus the Pittsburgh Steelers.

In game three versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Denver scored 20 points in the first half and six more in the final quarter to cap off a 26-7 win. Bo Nix threw for 216 yards and also had a rush TD. Courtland Sutton caught seven balls for 68 yards to lead the receivers.

New York Jets Betting Preview

Over on the Jets’ side, they weren’t able to match up well versus the San Francisco 49ers in their opener, taking a 32-19 road loss to start the year. New York found some rhythm the next week versus the Titans though, eventually pulling off a win 24-17.

New York looked even better during last Thursday’s home matchup against the New England Patriots. The Jets scored points in every quarter along the way to a nice 24-3 victory. QB Aaron Rodgers finished with 281 yards and two scores. Tyler Conklin led the receivers with his five catches for 93 yards.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Jets’ last six home games in September has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Broncos’ last six Sunday games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Jets’ last eight games.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 18+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances at MetLife Stadium.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 281+ passing yards in five of his last six September appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
• Allen Lazard has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
• Aaron Rodgers has thrown two or more touchdowns in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers ranks T1st in the league for TD:INT ratio (5.00) this season.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in five of the Broncos’ last six games as road underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Courtland Sutton has recorded 66+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last four September road games against AFC opponents.
• Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 10+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jaleel McLaughlin ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Prediction

I’ll take a stab at Denver. The Broncos played a pretty solid all-around game in their win over Tampa Bay last weekend. Denver posted 352 total yards but also went a rough 4-of-13 on third-down tries. The good news is that the defense showed up on 3-of-11 third-down conversions, 223 yards allowed (132 passing), and two takeaways.

As for the Jets, their offense looked better than it has in a very long time during their win over the Patriots. New York notched 400 yards (267 passing), 27 first downs, zero turnovers, and 10-of-15 on third-down tries. The Jets did get a little penalty-happy (eight for 106 yards) but that was just about the only blemish. That said, without an equally dominant effort here I don’t think they’ll quite cover over Denver.