Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction NFL Picks 9/22/24

Atlanta Falcons (1-1) vs Kansas City Chiefs (2-0)

Game Info: Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 8:20 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Falcons +3.5 / Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 --- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in week 3 NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Pick.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Ravens and Bengals, and they play the Chargers next. The Kansas City Chiefs look for their first 3-0 start since the 2020 season. Patrick Mahomes is completing 71.7 percent of his passes for 442 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy have combined for 242 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Isiah Pacheco has 7 receptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 110.5 yards per contest, and Pacheco leads the way with 135 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 22.5 points and 386 yards per game. Jaylen Watson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 17 tackles, Chris Jones has 1.5 sacks and Nick Bolton has 2 pass deflections.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons lost to the Steelers, beat the Eagles, and play the Saints next. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last 8 home games. Kirk Cousins is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 396 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Darnell Mooney and Ray-Ray McCloud III have combined for 197 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Drake London has 8 receptions.

The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 120.5 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 165 yards on 32 carries. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 19.5 points and 317.5 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 20 tackles, Matthew Judon has 1.5 sacks and Jessie Bates III has 1 interception.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

  • The Chiefs have won each of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Falcons have lost seven of their last eight September games against AFC opponents.
  • The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread in five of their last six Sunday games.
  • The Chiefs have won the first quarter in three of their last four Week 3 games against NFC opponents.
  • The Falcons have lost the first half in each of their last four September games as underdogs.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

  • Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight home appearances in September.
  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 221+ passing yards in 11 of his last 12 September appearances.
  • Darnell Mooney has recorded 32+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in five of his last six September home appearances.
  • Darnell Mooney has recorded 34+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Kyle Pitts has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons' last three games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
  • Tyler Allgeier has recorded 21+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons' last 22 Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • Bijan Robinson ranks T2nd in the NFL in broken tackles (5) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

  • Patrick Mahomes has recorded 262+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs' last eight September games as road favorites.
  • Travis Kelce has recorded 54+ receiving yards in 15 of the Chiefs' last 16 regular season road games against NFC opponents.
  • Patrick Mahomes has recorded 24+ completions in seven of the Chiefs' last eight September games as road favorites.
  • Patrick Mahomes has thrown two or more touchdowns in nine of the Chiefs' last 10 regular season road games against NFC opponents.
  • Travis Kelce has scored a touchdown in each of the Chiefs' last four September road games.
  • Patrick Mahomes has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs' last four road games against NFC South opponents.
  • Rashee Rice has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chiefs' last four Sunday games as favorites.
  • Justin Reid is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Falcons rank 30th in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (22.2%) this season.
  • The Falcons rank T4th in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (1.5) this season.
  • The Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
  • The Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (100.0) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

I have no idea if the Atlanta Falcons are good or not, as Cousins looked like an old quarterback coming off a major injury against the Steelers, but played well against the Eagles. The Falcons play hard defensively, but they're limited in playmakers on the offensive side outside of Robinson. The Kansas City Chiefs continue to find ways to win, and they've covered 7 of their last 10 games. The Chiefs are just consistent, and we don't have to wonder about which team is going to show up from week to week. The Chiefs also have loads of speed offensively, and that should thrive indoors at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. I'll lay the reasonable line with KC.

Randy’s Pick Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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