Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction 10/28/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Timberwolves Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Suns, beat the Nuggets, and they play the Lakers next. The Warriors have lost 10 of their last 12 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.3 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 120.8 points on 52.8 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 23.7 points and 2.7 assists, while Yaxel Lendeborg averages 21.8 points and 4.8 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Williams is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Raptors, lost to the Cavs, and they play the Clippers next. The Timberwolves have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 122 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 105 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 33.3 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Jaden McDaniels is averaging 15 points and 2.8 assists. LaMelo Ball is the third double-digit scorer, and Terrence Shannon Jr. is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 39.9 percent from beyond the arc and 60.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 28.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 54 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Warriors have lost each of their last eight road games following a win.
• The Timberwolves have won each of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a win.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last four games as favorites following an overtime loss.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Warriors’ last three games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Warriors’ last eight games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Ayo Dosunmu is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 10+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
• Jonathan Kuminga ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (10.0) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Gui Santos ranks T8th amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (6.0) this season.
• Brandin Podziemski ranks T37th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (2.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (60.7%).
• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (24.3).
• The Warriors rank 1st for second-chance points (86) this season.
• The Warriors rank T2nd in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.3).

Warriors vs Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves will be without Donte DiVincenzo due to an Achilles injury. Anthony Edwards is out with a knee injury.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler due to an ACL injury. Moses Moody is out with a leg injury. Kristaps Porzingis is not with the team. Yaxel Lendeborg is questionable with foot soreness.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves obviously lose some steam and fun with the Edwards injury, but there’s still enough here to beat up on lesser teams. As I said from the start of the season, the Warriors are one of the worst rosters in the league, and a win over the Nuggets doesn’t change much. We’re also now seeing Lendonborg on the injury report, which isn’t ideal. When it rains, it pours. The Warriors are in terrible shape. The line is soft. I’ll gladly lay the number with the Timberwolves.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Minnesota -3.5