Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/17/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Utah Jazz and the Dallas Mavericks duke it out once again at the American Airlines Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Utah Jazz Betting Preview 

The Utah Jazz have been in a slump as they’ve lost eight of their last 10 games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back here after getting smashed by the Mavericks in a 144-122 road defeat on Thursday. Brice Sensabaugh led the team with 27 points on 10 of 15 shooting, Keyonte George added 17 points on six of 11 shooting while Ace Bailey chipped in with 15 points.

As a team, the Jazz shot 49 percent from the field and 10 of 36 from the 3-point line, but their defense was almost non-existent as they allowed 112 points by the end of the third quarter to trial by as many as 38 points. Before they poured in 43 points in the fourth quarter to bring some respectability to the final score.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in decent form lately as they’ve won four of their last seven games overall and they will be looking to stay hot after blowing past the Jazz on Thursday. Klay Thompson drained six 3-pointers to lead the way with 26 points and six assists on 10 of 18 shooting, Naji Marshall added 22 points with six rebounds and four assists while Jaden Hardy chipped in with 19 points and five assists.

As a team, the Mavericks shot 57 percent from the field and 19 of 46 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running with 70 points in the first half to take an 18-point lead into halftime. Before they exploded for 42 points in the third quarter to push the margin out to 38 points. 

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last 10 games at American Airlines Center against Northwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Jazz have lost each of their last eight games at American Airlines Center.
• The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games at American Airlines Center against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games against Northwest Division opponents.

Why the Utah Jazz will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last six day games.
• The Jazz have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a win.
• The Jazz have covered the spread in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Jazz’s last nine day games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight day games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Utah Jazz Player Facts

• Keyonte George ranks 5th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.7%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nine different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.5).
• The Jazz rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.4).
• The Jazz rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.3%).

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Jazz are still missing some players with Georges Niang, Kessler Walker, and Lauri Markkanen all ruled out, while the Mavericks are already missing Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, and Dereck Lively II. Now they have added Cooper Flagg to the injury report after he sprained his ankle in the last game.

The Mavericks come into this contest as the team in better form, but they are now severely shorthanded with Flagg ruled out. The Mavericks are deserved favorites after they took apart the Jazz on Thursday, but it’s always hard to beat the same team twice in a row. So, even though the Jazz are struggling, I think they will bounce back with an upset win in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Utah +4.5