Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction 11/10/2026 NBA Picks Today

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction

The Thunder are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re the Thunder. OKC has been covering machines over the last two years, and they’ve covered 7 of their first 10 games this season. I get it. However, the Thunder are still an injured team and more vulnerable than ever. I said from the start of the season that I was high on the Trail Blazers, and they’ve held their own through 9 games, especially when 6 of their first contests were on the road.

This is a statement spot for the Trail Blazers, and after losing 9 of their last 10 games against the Thunder, I expect a motivated team to show up. If the Trail Blazers are as good as I think they can be, this is a game that can move the needle a bit. I’ll grab the bucket in a game the Trail Blazers could win outright.

Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Wizards and Grizzlies, and they play the Trail Blazers next. The Thunder have won 27 of their last 32 regular season games. The Thunder are 3-2 SU on the road, 5-0 SU at home, and 7-3 ATS this season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 112.2 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 104.2 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.9 points per game and 4.9 assists. Ajay Mitchell is averaging 18.9 points per game and 3.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is averaging 12 points per game and 9.3 rebounds. Jared McCain is averaging 12.1 points per game and 3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 83.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers lost to the Lakers and Spurs, and they play the Thunder next. The Trail Blazers have won 16 of their last 23 games. The Trail Blazers are 5-1 SU on the road, 1-2 SU at home, and 5-4 ATS on the season.

The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 119.3 points per game on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 113.9 points per game on 44.7 percent shooting. Deni Avdija is averaging 22.3 points per game and 6.4 rebounds. Damian Lillard is averaging 19.4 points per game and 3.2 rebounds. Ja Morant is averaging 15.8 points per game and 5.5 assists. Toumani Camara is averaging 13.1 points per game and 3.3 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Injury Report

The Trail Blazers will be without Vit Krejci due to an ankle fracture. Ja Morant is out with a hamstring injury. Shaedon Sharpe is out with a torn meniscus.

Jaylin Williams is out for the Thunder with a back issue. Jalen Williams is out with an ankle injury. Cason Wallace is out with a shoulder issue. Thomas Sorber is out with a knee injury. Chet Holmgren is out with a knee injury.

Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win

• The Thunder have lost six of their last nine games as road favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Trail Blazers have won each of their last four home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Thunder and Trail Blazers.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 road games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won 25 of their last 26 night games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
• The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last four road games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Trail Blazers.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Thunder’s last six night games at Moda Center have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Trail Blazers’ last nine home games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts

• Robert Williams III ranks 5th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.9) this season.
• Deni Avdija is one of only 12 qualified players in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 5.0 assists this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Aday Mara ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.5) this season.
• Isaiah Hartenstein ranks 4th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (15.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Trail Blazers rank 29th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (84.2%).
• The Trail Blazers rank 2nd in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (31.7).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.8%).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for defensive rating this season (105.5).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Portland +2.5