Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 62-20 | 49-33 |
| Spread | -4.5 -112 | +4.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -198 | +164 |
| Total | Over 216.5 (-110) | Under 216.5 (-110) |
| Where | Minnesota Stadium | |
| When | Friday, May 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | Prime Video | |
The San Antonio Spurs and Washington Mystics meet Friday in NBA Game 3 at the Target Center. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs look for their third road playoff win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Spurs have won 40 of their last 50 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 113.9 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 99.9 points on 41 percent shooting. Stephon Castle is averaging 19.6 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Victor Wembanyama is averaging 19 points and 2.5 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Dylan Harper is dishing 2.6 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game. Check out tonight’s other game between the Knicks and Sixers.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves look to remain undefeated at home in the playoffs to take a 2-1 series lead. The Timberwolves have won 8 of their last 12 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.9 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Julius Randle is averaging 18.5 points and 7.4 rebounds, while Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 18.2 points and 3.3 assists. Anthony Edwards is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 70.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven games against the Spurs at Target Center.
- The Spurs have lost each of their last six games at Target Center against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last seven playoff games at Target Center.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites following a win.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won Game 3 in each of their last six playoff series when tied 1-1.
- The Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven playoff home games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven playoff home games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in four of their last five playoff games.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Timberwolves’ last six games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Spurs’ last six Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.1) this season.
- Julius Randle ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for points per game (21.1) this season.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Julian Champagnie is one of only 11 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
- Keldon Johnson is one of only 11 qualified Guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves have allowed the most games with 40+ points (11) this season.
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for blocks per game this season (5.8).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (69.5%).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for point differential per game this season (+8.3).
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
The Timberwolves will be without Donte DiVincenzo. Anthony Edwards is questionable with a knee bruise. Ayo Dosunmu is questionable with heel soreness.
The Spurs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
The Timberwolves are good at home and they’re led by some dogs who will be eager to get a nasty taste out of their mouths from game 2. However, the Timberwolves are still dealing with banged-up bodies and that includes Edwards, who isn’t 100 percent and now has to play every other day. This isn’t the first round where you can get a few days off in between games to heal up. A bruise or heel soreness doesn’t have a chance to get better when playing every 48 hours.
Since February 1, the Spurs are 6-3 when favorites of 5 or fewer points. Also, it’s not like you need extra motivation in the playoffs, but the Spurs can’t afford this series to drag out with OKC dog walking the Lakers right now. Can’t give OKC extra rest. The Spurs are the better, healthier team. I’ll lay the points.
