San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 1/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves play host to the San Antonio Spurs at the Target Center on Sunday night. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs have cooled off a bit recently as they’ve split their last eight games, but they will be aiming for a third straight victory after taking down the red-hot Celtics in a 100-95 road win last night. De’Aaron Fox led the team with 21 points, nine rebounds and six assists, Victor Wembenyama tallied 21 points with three blocks off the bench while Keldon Johnson chipped in with 18 points and 10 rebounds.

As a team, the Spurs shot just 40 percent from the field and 10 of 44 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and scored just 21 points in the first quarter to fall behind early. But they kept the margin within single digits and made their move late in the fourth quarter where they closed the final 2:43 on a 12-4 run to escape with the gritty road win.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in great shape as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall. They will be looking to bounce back in this one after having their four-game win streak snapped by the Cavaliers in a 146-134 road defeat last night. Anthony Edwards led the team with 25 points on 10 of 24 shooting, Naz Reid added 25 points on nine of 12 shooting off the bench while Julius Randle chipped in with 20 points.

As a team, the Timberwolves shot 57 percent from the field and 16 of 32 from the 3-point line, which are solid shooting numbers. However, they weren’t at their usual standards on defense and allowed 83 points in the second half to get blown out in the end. 

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last 11 home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Spurs have lost each of their last 10 Sunday night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Timberwolves’ last five games.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games as road underdogs.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last four road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last six games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Fourteen of the Timberwolves’ last 16 home games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.8).
• The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.7).
• The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.3).

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Spurs have ruled out Devin Vassell once again, while the Timberwolves have decided to rest Mike Conley for this contest. These teams have already met once this season with the Timberwolves beating the Spurs by 125-112, but the Timberwolves got smashed by the Cavaliers last night.

The Spurs took down the red-hot Celtics in a solid win, so this one could go either way. The Timberwolves are certainly tempting at the short line at home, but I think the Spurs get their revenge if they play as well as they did against the Celtics. This should be close, but I am leaning towards the visiting Spurs to escape with the narrow win in this one.

Peter Tran's Pick: San Antonio +2.5