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San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 2/3/25 NBA Picks

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Memphis Grizzlies (33-16) vs San Antonio Spurs (21-25)

February 3, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Memphis Grizzlies -5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs and the Memphis Grizzlies duke it out at the FedExForum on Monday night. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

San Antonio Spurs 

The San Antonio Spurs have been in a real funk as they’ve lost nine of their last 12 games overall and they will be hoping for a better result after coming up just short to the Heat in a 105-103 loss on Saturday. Keldon Johnson led the team with 19 points off the bench, Devin Vassell added 18 points while Chris Paul chipped in with 12 points, seven assists, and three steals. As a team, the Spurs shot 41 percent from the field and 12 of 36 from the 3-point line as they clawed their way back from an 11-point third-quarter deficit to tie the scores late in the fourth quarter before the Heat’s Bam Adebayo made the game-winner at the buzzer the snatch the game away from the Spurs in a heartbreaking finish. The Spurs will play against the Hawks following this one.

Memphis Grizzlies 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been on a tear as they’ve won eight of their last nine games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight win after routing the Bucks in a 132-119 road win last night. Jaren Jackson Jr drained seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 37 points on 12 of 26 shooting, Santi Aldama added 23 points off the bench while Desmond Bane chipped in with 22 points, nine rebounds, and two assists. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 48 percent from the field and 14 of 39 from the 3-point line as they struggled to contain the Bucks and allowed 41 points in the third quarter to trail by 10 points before they flipped a switch and dominated the fourth quarter by 39-22 to make it look easy in the end. 

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Spurs have lost each of their last 14 night games against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last 13 games at FedExForum against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Southwest Division opponents.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Grizzlies have lost six of their last 10 games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The road team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between the Spurs and Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Southwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.4).
  • The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.0).
  • The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (67.4%).

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

The Spurs are keeping an eye on Victor Wembenyama who is questionable with an illness, while the Grizzlies are still missing Marcus Smart and Ja Morant. The Spurs haven’t been able to get anything going lately and their confidence took another hit after losing to the struggling Heat in their last outing, while the Grizzlies have continued their strong form with an impressive comeback win over the Bucks last night. It is always tough to play on zero days rest, but the Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and no number of injuries seem to slow this team down. Be sure to check the lineups before tipoff, but assuming that Wembenyama is out again, I like the Grizzlies to get the win and cover at the modest line.

Peter Tran's Pick: Memphis -5.5

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