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San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction 2/26/25 NBA Picks

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Houston Rockets (36-22) vs San Antonio Spurs (24-32)

February 26, 2025 at 09:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -9 — Over/Under: 227

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Pistons and Pelicans, and then play the Grizzlies, Thunder, and Nets next. The Spurs have lost 13 of their last 18 games and are watching any hopes of a playoff spot slip away. 

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 112.6 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 46.4 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 21.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 15.3 points and 2.8 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets beat the Bucks, lost to the Jazz, and they play the Kings, Thunder, and Pacers next. Each of the Rockets’ last four wins since January 30 have come at home. 

The Houston Rockets are averaging 112.7 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 108.8 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.5 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19 points and 10.5 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Amen Thompson is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Spurs have lost 29 of their last 30 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have won each of their last nine Wednesday night games.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine night games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Toyota Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Rockets have lost four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Spurs have won four of their last eight games as underdogs against the Rockets following a loss.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Toyota Center following a win.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Spurs’ last three games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.0).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (14.5).
  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.4).
  • The Spurs are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points after Q1 this season.

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Injury Report 

Fred VanVleet is questionable for the Rockets with an ankle injury after not playing last night.

The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix, Victor Wembanyama, and Charles Bassey.

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Houston Rockets should win this game considering they’re the healthier team and at home. However, the Rockets have had issues finishing over the last few weeks and have still lost six of their last 10 games. We have to remember the Rockets are a young team and finishing is the next step in the process. The Spurs are a mess right now and without their best player in Wembanyama. Still, the Spurs are playing for a potential playoff spot even though that gets more bleak by the day. Also, this is still an in-state rivalry where these teams don’t like each other. The points can come in handy in spots like this. Give me the Spurs and the free buckets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Antonio Spurs +9

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