San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/5/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Magic and Thunder, and they play the Mavs next. The Spurs have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 116.9 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.1 points and 11 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.8 points and 6.2 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.3 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Celtics and Rockets, and they play the Spurs next. The Mavs have lost 5 straight games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.8 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points and 4.2 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 14.5 points and 5 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 3.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won 14 of their last 16 night games against the Spurs.
• The Spurs have lost 16 of their last 20 games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last eight Thursday games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last four home games.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last nine Thursday night games.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 games when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last seven games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Nine of the Mavericks’ last 10 home games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks have used 27 different starting fives this season – most in the league.
• Nine different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Spurs have missed the playoffs in six consecutive seasons – second-longest active streak in the NBA.
• The Spurs rank 3rd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.6).

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and P.J. Washington. Brandon Williams and Daniel Gafford are questionable.

Jeremy Sochan, David Jones Garcia, and Lindy Waters III are out for the Spurs. Kelly Olynyk and Dylan Harper are questionable.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

You can argue this is a letdown spot for the Spurs after playing last night and beating up on the Thunder. However, the Mavericks have a lengthy injury report and are down players due to trades as well. Tough spot for the Mavs and a spot where the Spurs and the healthier roster should be able to take advantage. I have to lay the points with the Spurs.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6.5