Nov 17, 2025; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA;  Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) reacts after a play against the New Orleans Pelicans during the second half at Smoothie King Center. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images
Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 11/19/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Sacramento Kings Oklahoma City Thunder
Team Records 3-11 14-1
Spread +18.5 -112 -18.5 -108
Moneyline +1000 -1800
Total Over 232.5 (-115) Under 232.5 (-105)
Where Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
When Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV FanDuel SN OK

The Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview


The Sacramento Kings lost to the Timberwolves and Spurs, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Kings have lost 10 of their last 12 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 113.2 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 124.5 points on 50.8 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 24 points and 3.6 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18.2 points and 3.4 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Russell Westbrook is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.5 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview


The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Hornets and Pelicans, and then play the Jazz next. The Thunder have won 18 of their last 19 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121.6 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 106.2 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.6 points and 6.6 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 19.3 points and 8.2 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Joe is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 86.1 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 32 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Kings have lost each of their last 15 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 night games against Pacific Division opponents.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Kings have won five of their last seven games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last five games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Paycom Center against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Kings’ last four games against the Thunder following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last three games between the Kings and Thunder have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Chet Holmgren is the only player to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for FG% (69.1%) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

  • Zach LaVine ranks 10th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (4.4) this season.
  • Russell Westbrook ranks 13th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.8).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.9).
  • The Kings rank 29th in the league for rebounds per game this season (39.4).
  • The Kings rank 29th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.9).

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report


The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Nikola Topic, and Jalen Williams.

The Kings will be without Keegan Murray and Domantas Sabonis.

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction


The Kings aren’t winning, aren’t defending, and they’re not covering numbers despite being big underdogs nightly. The Thunder are the complete opposite, and that includes covering 7 of their last 10 games. On paper and through the trends, this is one of the biggest mismatches you can create in the NBA. Thick number but for good reason. I’ll side with OKC in a bloodbath of a victory.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma City -18.5

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