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Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 10/28/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
Sacramento (1-2) vs Oklahoma City (4-0)
October 28, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma City -10.5 — Over/Under: +227.5
The Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.
The Sacramento Kings lost to the Lakers, beat the Jazz, and they play the Bulls next. The Kings have won 5 of their last 9 games.
The Sacramento Kings are averaging 114 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 31 points and 2.7 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 19 points and 5 rebounds. Malik Monk is the third double-digit scorer and Dennis Schroder is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 41.4 percent from beyond the arc and 64.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game.
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Hawks and Mavs, and then play the Wizards next. The Thunder look for back-to-back 5-0 starts to the NBA season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points on 42 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 40 points and 5 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 24.7 points and 10 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 27.9 percent from beyond the arc and 86.1 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 50.8 rebounds per game.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, and Kenrich Williams. Chet Holmgren is questionable with a back injury.
The Kings will be without Nique Clifford and Keegan Murray.
The Thunder are obviously capable of blowing the doors off, as they’ve done over the years, but they’re also an injured team that’s on the end of a back-to-back. Even for OKC, this isn’t a great spot. The Thunder are also 1-3 ATS on the season, so they’re not cashing tickets like they have in recent seasons. The Kings are healthy for the most part, rested, and they’ve covered 3 of their last 4 games as a double-digit underdog. Two of those covers were outright victories. This line is just showing the Thunder the same respect they usually get, when the truth is they’re not that team yet based on injuries. Give me the points with the Kings.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings lost to the Lakers, beat the Jazz, and they play the Bulls next. The Kings have won 5 of their last 9 games.
The Sacramento Kings are averaging 114 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 31 points and 2.7 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 19 points and 5 rebounds. Malik Monk is the third double-digit scorer and Dennis Schroder is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 41.4 percent from beyond the arc and 64.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Hawks and Mavs, and then play the Wizards next. The Thunder look for back-to-back 5-0 starts to the NBA season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points on 42 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 40 points and 5 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 24.7 points and 10 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 27.9 percent from beyond the arc and 86.1 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 50.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 26 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Kings have lost each of their last 10 Tuesday night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Kings’ last six games at Paycom Center.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Kings have won four of their last five games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Kings.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last four road games on the first leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Thunder’s last six home games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Kings’ last three road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren is one of only four qualified players in the league averaging a double-double while shooting over 40% from three this season.
- Isaiah Hartenstein ranks 7th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (11.0) this season.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- Keon Ellis ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (4.5) this season.
- Dennis Schroder ranks 13th amongst qualified players for assists per game (7.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 30th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (23.3).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (50.3).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (12.0).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (18.7).
Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, and Kenrich Williams. Chet Holmgren is questionable with a back injury.
The Kings will be without Nique Clifford and Keegan Murray.
Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are obviously capable of blowing the doors off, as they’ve done over the years, but they’re also an injured team that’s on the end of a back-to-back. Even for OKC, this isn’t a great spot. The Thunder are also 1-3 ATS on the season, so they’re not cashing tickets like they have in recent seasons. The Kings are healthy for the most part, rested, and they’ve covered 3 of their last 4 games as a double-digit underdog. Two of those covers were outright victories. This line is just showing the Thunder the same respect they usually get, when the truth is they’re not that team yet based on injuries. Give me the points with the Kings.
