Oct 31, 2025; Portland, Oregon, USA; Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) dribbles the ball during the second half against Portland Trail Blazers forward Deni Avdija (8) at Moda Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images
Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 11/3/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

Sacramento (2-4) vs Denver (3-2)

November 3, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver -12.5 — Over/Under: +236.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento Kings and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Bulls, beat the Bucks, and they play the Warriors next. The Kings have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 115 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 49.8 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 29.5 points and 3.2 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 20.7 points and 4.3 rebounds. Malik Monk is the third double-digit scorer and Domantas Sabonis is grabbing 13.6 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Pelicans, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Heat next. The Nuggets have won 6 of their last 8 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124 points on 51.8 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 26 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.4 points and 14.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 1.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 87.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last six home games against Kings teams that held a losing record.
  • The Kings have lost each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last seven games at Ball Arena.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Kings have won four of their last five road games against Northwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as home favorites after losing as favorites.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Nuggets’ last five games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Kings’ last six games at Ball Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Christian Braun ranks 4th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (5.0) this season.
  • Jamal Murray ranks T9th amongst qualified players for FT% (95.0%) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

  • Russell Westbrook ranks T20th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for assists per game (4.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 2nd in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.2).
  • The Nuggets are one of two teams to rank in the top-10 for both field goal percentage and free throw percentage this season.
  • The Kings have suffered the largest comeback loss from a HT lead this season – led by 17 points @ Suns on October 22.
  • The Kings have used five different starting fives this season – equal-most in the league.

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Kings will be without Malik Monk and Keegan Murray. Devin Carter, Dennis Schroder, and Zach LaVine are questionable.

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Big line, but it’s hard to take the Kings seriously given their injury report. If they’re down that many players, the Nuggets should have their way. The Kings have underachieved up to this point, and playing in Denver isn’t where teams find their footing. The Nuggets will also be eager to rebound from a bad loss to the Trail Blazers. The Kings continue to lose and aren’t covering numbers. You make money fading the Kings dating back to last season. Give me the Nuggets in a blowout home win.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -12.5

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