Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Sacramento Kings and Denver Nuggets meet Saturday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Thunder and Grizzlies, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Kings have lost 12 of their last 14 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 111 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 124.5 points on 50.7 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 21.9 points and 3.4 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 17.9 points and 3.1 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Russell Westbrook is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.3 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Pelicans and Rockets, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Nuggets have won 15 of their last 18 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 123.8 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 112.8 points on 45 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.5 points and 13 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 22.8 points and 4.9 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 83.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last 14 home games against the Kings following a win.
• The Kings have lost each of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Nuggets have lost seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Kings have won four of their last six games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Kings have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Ball Arena against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Nuggets’ last nine night games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Kings’ last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Jamal Murray ranks 11th amongst qualified players for FT% (91.5%) this season.
• Jonas Valanciunas ranks 12th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.3) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Malik Monk ranks 15th amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.6%) this season.
• Zach LaVine is one of only 15 qualified Guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for H1 win percentage this season (73.3%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (62.1%).
• The Kings have used 12 different starting fives this season – most in the league.
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for rebound percentage this season (45.9%).

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

Christian Braun and Julian Strawther are out for the Nuggets. Aaron Gordon is also out.

The Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis.

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are on the end of a back-to-back and won’t have Gordon, but I have to lay the points anyway. The Kings aren’t winning and are 5-10-1 ATS despite being big underdogs nightly. The Kings have no betting value in their current form. The Nuggets just beat the Kings by 14 points a couple of weeks ago on the road. I’m not stepping in front of the Nuggets for the Kings, who could possibly start looking to move some of these veterans to speed up a rebuild. It’s getting dark in Sacramento.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -11.5