Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/26/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Rockets and beat the Grizzlies, and they play the Lakers next. The Kings have lost 16 of their last 17 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 110.1 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 121.1 points on 49.6 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Russell Westbrook is averaging 15.1 points and 5.5 rebounds. Keegan Murray is the third double-digit scorer, and Malik Monk is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Pacers and Nets, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Mavs have lost 10 of their last 12 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Kings have lost 21 of their last 22 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Mavericks have won five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as road underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Kings have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Mavericks following a road loss.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last five home games.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
• The Kings have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against the Mavericks following a road loss.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last five games as favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Kings’ last six road games against the Mavericks following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Caleb Martin leads all Mavericks players in steals per 36 minutes (1.8) this season.
• Brandon Williams ranks 24th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for assists per game (3.9) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Russell Westbrook ranks 15th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (7.9) this season.
• Malik Monk ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.8).
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (33.3%).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point percentage this season (33.8%).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.2).

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, PJ Washington, Cooper Flagg, and Dereck Lively II. Daniel Gafford and Khris Middleton are questionable.

The Kings will be without Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell, and De’Andre Hunter. Devin Carter is questionable.

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

It’s weird seeing the Mavericks in the big favorite role and I’m not excited to lay all of these points. However, it speaks to the king’s struggles more than anything. The Kings keep losing, don’t cover enough to make them worth a look, and they’re banged up as well as being on the end of a back-to-back. This is a rough schedule spot for the Kings. Again, the Mavs have issues of their own but they’re rested and at home. The Kings stink. It’s Mavericks or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Mavericks -6.5